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Fast BA.5.1 sublineage carrying Orf6:D6G (3455seqs) circulating widely in Europe #786
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510 total sequences as today. |
982 sequences as today |
3455 sequences as today. it represents 4,85% of BA.5.1 sequences in the last month (3.85% cumulative) |
Added new lineage BA.5.1.9 from #786 with 161 new sequence designations, and 52 updated designations from BA.5.1
Thanks for submitting. We've added lineage BA.5.1.9 with 161 newly designated sequences, and 52 updated designations from BA.5.1. Defining mutation(s) C5221T, A27218G (ORF6:D6G). |
Here i want to propose a sublineage of BA.5.1 defined by Orf6:D6G (A27218G) that seems growing fast in Europe, spotted by @olias120676
The usher tree pots this lineage in two different branches of BA.5.1:
The big one with 267 Seqs has Orf6:D6G as defining mutation
while the small one with 39 sequences apparently has Orf1ab:M4855V (=Orf1b:454V=A14827G) that precedes Orf6:D6G,
just because there are 4 BA.5.1 sequence with it and without orf6
Orf6:D6G in this smaller sublineage is accompanied by C5221T and followed by C29077T as main branch circulating in Ireland.
Sincerely i think this is one only lineage also temporally the first sequences of the smaller branch with Orf1ab:M4855V have already Orf6:D6G (as EPI_ISL_13030929, Luxembourg 12-5-22) and that date corresponds very well to the first sequences if the bigger branch without Orf1ab:M4855V ( EPI_ISL_13099505 Spain 10-5-2022).
Here the two usher links:
1
Small branch with Orf1ab:M4855V (=Orf1b:454V=A14827G) 39 Sequences
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice2_genome_1729b_4db470.json?branchLabel=aa%20mutations&c=pango_lineage_usher&label=nuc%20mutations:A14827G
2
Big branch starting with Orf6:D6G (A27218G)
https://nextstrain.org/fetch/genome.ucsc.edu/trash/ct/subtreeAuspice1_genome_1729b_4db460.json?branchLabel=aa%20mutations&c=gt-nuc_14827&label=nuc%20mutations:A27218G
(Note that A14827G appears to be masked in the clade without A14827G )
I ask help from @AngieHinrichs @chrisruis @corneliusroemer here to understand if it is one only or two distinct BA.5.1 sublineages with Orf6:D6G.
I have included, in the following sequence list, just sequences without Orf1ab:M4855V (=Orf1b:454V=A14827G)
contributors (6).csv
Said that, the real important thing is that this sublineage seems to grow very fast vs BA.5.1 baseline +45%:
https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past2M/variants?aaMutations=M%3A3N&nucMutations=12160A%2C29666T&aaMutations1=M%3A3N%2CORF6%3AD6G&nucMutations1=12160A%2C29666T&analysisMode=CompareToBaseline&
And considering just the sequences without Orf1ab:M4855V (=Orf1b:454V=A14827G) the advantage is skighty bigger:
This sublineage is circulating widely in Europe: Spain, Uk, Ireland, Belgium, Germany but it has landed already in Chile, Israel, Usa, Singapore
International Overview: https://cov-spectrum.org/explore/World/AllSamples/Past3M/variants/international-comparison?aaMutations=M%3A3N%2CORF6%3AD6G%2COrf1b%3A454M&nucMutations=12160A%2C29666T&aaMutations1=M%3A3N%2CORF6%3AD6G%2COrf1b%3A454M&nucMutations1=12160A%2C29666T&
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