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Predicting Thermostability of Enzyme Variants

Pol Arranz-Gibert, Ayush Khaitan, Richard van Krieken, and Erika Ordog (Team Pine for the Erdos Institute).

Background

Enzymes, which are long chains of units called amino acids, require a suitable temperature to function. Beyond a certain temperature, called the melting temperature, they get denatured and lose their functionality. Although this temperature can be experimentally determined, it would be tremendously useful for bench side scientists and biotech companies to be able to predict this melting temperature from just the amino acid sequence.

Data

The data set was provided by Novozymes as part of the Novozymes Enzyme Stability Prediction competition on Kaggle. It consists of the melting temperatures (Tm) and enzyme sequences for approximately 30,000 enzymes. We expanded our data set by including enzymes from the data set linked here.

We extracted features such as the protein 3D structure (both obtained from experimentation and predicted by AlphaFold 3D), amino acid properties, amino acid substitution matrices, and features from a protein transformer.

Models

We performed an XGBoost (with Protein Transformer ESM), XGBoost (with Protein Transformer ESM, Amino acid properties, Amino Acid Substitution matrix, 3D Features), an NLP Hugging Face (with Protein Transformer ESM, Amino acid properties, Amino Acid Substitution matrix, 3D Features), and a third XGBoost (Protein Transformer ESM, PCA) model and compared the root mean squared errors (RMSE) and Spearman correlation coefficients of each.

Results

Our best model was the third XGBoost model with Protein Transformer ESM and principal component analysys (PCA). We found the normalized RMSE to be 0.06 and the Pearson R to be 0.81.

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