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Population Modeling in Ecology (Spring 2023)

Welcome to Population Modeling in Ecology! This course introduces key software packages and fundamental models used in fish and wildlife population analysis. Course content includes the parameterization of models used to estimate ecological state variables (occupancy, abundance) and population vital rates (survival, recruitment, dispersal) of both marked and unmarked populations, accounting for imperfect capture/detection probability. The course will cover closed population models, Cormack-Jolly-Seber models, multistate models, reverse-time Pradel models, and Robust Design models with capture-mark-recapture data, closed and open N-mixture models with repeated count data, and site-occupancy models with detection/nondetection data. Models will be fit using the ‘RMark’ and ‘unmarked’ packages in Program R. Each class will begin with an introduction to the subject material through a brief lecture followed by the application of the concepts through exercises in R (e.g., formatting data, fitting and selecting models, visualizing predicted relationships) using simulated or real datasets. Students will be encouraged to use their own data when possible.

I will post a video lesson each week to introduce the topic that we will cover in the following week. Please watch each weekly video prior to the start of class in the following week. Search for videos under 'Video Lessons' below. Videos will appear under the date on which they were posted. Finally, please read the 'Additional Instructions' below on downloading/installing the software and packages required to execute the R scripts that accompany each lesson.

Instructor

Gabriel Barrile (Please email gbarrile@uwyo.edu with any questions, comments, or requests.)

Molly Caldwell (Guest Lecturer)


Video Lessons

Accessing Course Materials

Downloading Individual Folders from GitHub

January 17

Course Introduction

January 19

Abundance: Closed Binomial N-mixture Model in unmarked

January 23

Coding Session: Closed Binomial N-mixture Model

January 24

Abundance: Open Binomial N-mixture Model in unmarked

January 30

Coding Session: Open Binomial N-mixture Model

January 31

Abundance: Closed Population Estimation in RMark

February 06

Coding Session: Closed Population Estimation in RMark

February 08

Occupancy: Closed Occupancy Model in unmarked

February 13

Coding Session: Closed Occupancy Model in unmarked

February 16

Occupancy: Open Occupancy Model in unmarked

February 20

Coding Session: Open Occupancy Model in unmarked

February 21

Occupancy: Open Occupancy Model in RMark

February 27

Coding Session: Open Occupancy Model in RMark

February 28

Survival: Cormack-Jolly-Seber Model in RMark

March 08

Coding Session: Cormack-Jolly-Seber Model in RMark

March 20

Molly Caldwell Guest Lecture: Wildlife Camera Analysis

March 22

Survival: Robust Design with Temporary Emigration in RMark

March 27

Coding Session: Robust Design with Temporary Emigration in RMark

April 03

Introduction and Coding Session: Reverse-time Pradel Model for Survival, Recruitment, and Population Growth in RMark

April 04

Multi-State Capture-Mark-Recapture Model in RMark

April 12

Coding Session: Multi-State Capture-Recapture Model in RMark


Additional Instructions

Download and install the following programs for your platform:

R and RStudio Desktop

Program MARK

Installing packages

Once you have R and RStudio set up on your device, install the following packages via pasting these commands into your prompt (i.e., copy and paste the code into the "Console" of RStudio and hit enter):

install.packages("unmarked")
install.packages("tidyverse")
install.packages("ggplot2")
install.packages("RMark") # you need Program MARK installed on your computer first

Downloading code/data from this repository

Simply click the Code dropdown button at the top-right of this page (scroll up to see it). Then hit Download ZIP in the dropdown menu. If you're not sure where to save it, just download and unzip to your Desktop.


Acknowledgments

This graduate course is offered through the University of Wyoming. A huge thank you to Jerod Merkle in the Zoology and Physiology Department for supporting this effort.


License

Creative Commons Attribution 2.0 Generic License.

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Materials (data, code, videos) for spring 2023 course Population Modeling in Ecology

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