PREDICTION

Chapter 4: Prediction

R scripts

• The script for the entire chapter: prediction.R

Data sets

Main text

1. 2008 Presidential Election Data (Table 4.1): [pres08.csv] (pres08.csv)
2. 2008 Presidential Polling Data (Table 4.2): [polls08.csv] (polls08.csv)
3. Facial Appearanace Experiment Data (Table 4.4): [face.csv] (face.csv)
4. 2012 US Presidential Election Data (Table 4.5): [pres12.csv] (pres12.csv)
5. 1996 and 2000 US Presidential Election Data for Florida Counties (Table 4.6): [florida.csv] (florida.csv)
6. Women as Policy Makers Experiment Data (Table 4.7): [women.csv] (women.csv)
7. Revisiting the Social Pressure Experiment Data (Table 2.4): [social.csv] (social.csv)
8. British Parliament Member Personal Wealth Data (Table 4.8): [MPs.csv] (MPs.csv)

Exercises

1. 2008 Intrade Prediction Market Data (Table 4.9): [intrade08.csv] (intrade08.csv)
2. 2012 Intrade Prediction Market Data (Table 4.9): [intrade12.csv] (intrade12.csv)
3. Progresa Program Data (Table 4.11): [progresa.csv] (progresa.csv)
4. Brazilian Government Transfer Data (Table 4.12): [transfer.csv] (transfer.csv)