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GLOBIOM-LookupTable

Index

Introduction

This dataset provides a model emulation (so called "Lookup-Table") of the GLOBIOM-G4M models with respect to greenhouse gas (GHG) emission reduction potentials from agriculture, forestry and other land use (AFOLU) and land based biomass potentials for bioenergy. The dataset represents a two dimensional scenario matrix combining different carbon price and biomass price trajectories for the Shared Socio-economic Pathway 2 (SSP2) and can be used in other models e.g. energy system models, to develop climate mitigation pathways that explicitly consider impacts/potentials from the land use sector.

Information on the GLOBIOM model can be found here. Detailed information on the GLOBIOM-G4M Lookup-Table structure and results are presented our paper 'Land based climate change mitigation potentials within the agenda for sustainable development' and the accompanying supplementary material.

For further questions please contact Stefan Frank

Lookup-Table structure

The Lookup-Table represents a combination of 7 biomass price and 12 GHG price trajectories that have been quantified in GLOBIOM-G4M, yielding in total 84 scenarios. The biomass price for bioenergy production (US$/GJ) and carbon price (US$/tCO2eq) increase linearly from 2020 onwwards and reach their maximum in 2100. Prices range from 0 - 60 US$/GJ (BIO00, BIO03, BIO05, BIO08, BIO13, BIO30, and BIO60) and 0 - 3000 US$/tCO2eq (GHG000, GHG010, GHG020, GHG050, GHG100, GHG200, GHG400, GHG600, GHG1000, GHG1500, GHG2000, and GHG3000). This approach allows to quantify supply functions where the supplied biomass quantity available for bioenergy is a function of the biomass price and conditional on a GHG price. Vice versa we quantify the cost-efficient AFOLU mitigation potential in the form of a marginal abatement cost curves (MACC) conditional on the biomass demand where the emission reduction is a function of the GHG price converted through global warming potential of the non-CO2 gases to cover also methane (CH4) and nitrous oxide (N2O) emissions in addition to carbon dioxide (CO2).

The biomass supply curves and MACCs are highly interdependent, for instance: a biomass price remunerating forest harvest for bioenergy may encourage additional afforestation. This will increase the carbon sink of the forest while at the same time providing more biomass for bioenergy production. The Lookup-Table represents a GLOBIOM-G4M model emulation and provides a comprehensive and detailed response surface for the land use sector that can also be used in other models to explicitly consider dynamics and interlinkages between biomass use and AFOLU emissions but also other important land use related indicators.

SDG scenario dimensions

The Lookup-Table has been quantified for two set of scenarios: with- (scenSDGs) and without (scenBASE) consideration of selected SDGs by 2030:

  • SDG2 - represented by limiting undernourishment to 1%

  • SDG6 - represented by respecting environmental water flow requirements for fresh water ecosystems protection

  • SDG12 - represented by reducing livestock calorie intake in overconsuming countries through preference change to 430 kcal/capita/day and halving food waste

  • SDG15 - represented by increasing the share of protected areas to 17% and avoiding conversion of biodiversity hot-spots

Regional aggregation

The Lookup-Table is provided for 5 world regions:

AFR – Middle East and Africa

ASIA – South, East, and South-East Asia

LAM – Latin and Central America

OECD – North America, Europe, Pacific OECD

REF – Russia, Ukraine and Former Soviet Union

and a higher resolution including 10 world regions:

Acronym Region Definition
CIS Commonwealth of Independent States Russia, Ukraine, Former Soviet Union countries
EAS East Asia China, South Korea, Japan
EUR Europe European Union, Rest of Europe
MAF Middle East and North Africa Middle East, Turkey, North Africa
NAM North America Canada, USA, Mexico, Rest of Central America
OCE Oceania Australia, New Zealand, Pacific Islands
SAM South America Argentina, Brazil, Rest of South America
SAS South Asia India, Rest of South Asia
SEA South East Asia Indonesia, Malaysia, Rest of South East Asia
SSA Sub-Saharan Africa South Africa, Eastern Africa, Southern Africa, Western Africa, Congo Basin

Output variables

The Lookup-Table contains results with respect to:

Variable Unit Definition
Land Cover | Cropland million ha Arable land including dedicated energy crops
Land Cover | Cropland | Irrigated million ha Irrigated arable land
Land Cover | Cropland | Energy Crops million ha Dedicated energy crops i.e. poplar, willow and miscanthus
Land Cover | Forest million ha Total forest area
Land Cover | Forest | Forestry million ha Managed forest area for material or energy use including afforestation
Land Cover | Forest | Natural Forest million ha Unmanaged forest area including reforestation
Land Cover | Forest | Afforestation and Reforestation million ha Afforested or reforested
Land Cover | Other Natural Land million ha Other natural vegetation e.g. savannah
Land Cover | Pasture million ha Pasture area
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from land use
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use | Agriculture Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from agriculture
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use | Agriculture | Rice Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from rice cultivation
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use | Agriculture | AWM Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from manure management
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use | Agriculture | Enteric Fermentation Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from enteric fermentation
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use | Agricultural Waste Burning Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from crop residue burning
Emissions | CH4 | Land Use | Savannah Burning Mt CH4/yr Methane emissions from savannah burning
Emissions | CO2 | Land Use Mt CO2/yr Carbon dioxide emissions/removals from land use
Emissions | CO2 | Land Use | Afforestation Mt CO2/yr Carbon dioxide emissions/removals from afforestation and reforestation
Emissions | CO2 | Land Use | Deforestation Mt CO2/yr Carbon dioxide emissions from deforestation
Emissions | CO2 | Land Use | Forest Management Mt CO2/yr Carbon dioxide emissions/removals from forest management
Emissions | CO2 | Land Use | Other LUC Mt CO2/yr Carbon dioxide emissions/removals from other land use changes including establishment of dedicated energy crops
Emissions | N2O | Land Use kt N2O/yr Nitrous oxide emissions from land use
Emissions | N2O | Land Use | Agriculture kt N2O/yr Nitrous oxide emissions from agriculture
Emissions | N2O | Land Use | Agriculture | AWM kt N2O/yr Nitrous oxide emissions from manure management
Emissions | N2O | Land Use | Agriculture | Cropland Soils kt N2O/yr Nitrious oxide emissions from fertilizers & manure applied, crop residues and organic soils
Emissions | N2O | Land Use | Agriculture | Pasture kt N2O/yr Nitrious oxide emissions from manure dropped on pastures
Emissions | N2O | Land Use | Agricultural Waste Burning kt N2O/yr Nitrous oxide emissions from crop residue burning
Emissions | N2O | Land Use | Savannah Burning kt N2O/yr Nitrous oxide emissions from savannah burning
Price | Primary Energy | Biomass US$2000/GJ Biomass price for bioenergy use
Price | Agriculture | Non-Energy Crops and Livestock | Index Index (2005 = 1) Price index for crop- and livestock products
Price | Agriculture | Non-Energy Crops | Index Index (2005 = 1) Crop price index
Water | Withdrawal | Irrigation million m3/yr Irrigation water use
Fertilizer Use | Nitrogen Tg N/yr Nitrogen fertilizer use
Fertilizer Use | Phosphorus Tg P/yr Phosphorus fertilizer use
Agricultural Demand million t DM/yr Total agricultural demand
Agricultural Demand | Food million t DM/yr Food demand
Agricultural Demand | Food | Crops million t DM/yr Food demand crops
Agricultural Demand | Food | Livestock million t DM/yr Food demand livestock
Agricultural Demand | Non-Food million t DM/yr Demand for other industrial uses
Agricultural Demand | Non-Food | Crops million t DM/yr Demand for other industrial uses crops
Agricultural Demand | Non-Food | Livestock million t DM/yr Demand for other industrial uses livestock
Agricultural Demand | Feed million t DM/yr Feed demand
Agricultural Demand | Feed | Crops million t DM/yr Feed demand crops
Agricultural Demand | Bioenergy million t DM/yr Bioenergy demand
Agricultural Demand | Bioenergy | 1st generation million t DM/yr Agricultural bioenergy demand from cereals, sugar crops and oilseeds
Agricultural Demand | Bioenergy | 2nd generation million t DM/yr Agricultural bioenergy demand from energy crops
Food Demand kcal/cap/day Food consumption
Food Demand | Crops kcal/cap/day Food consumption crops
Food Demand | Livestock kcal/cap/day Food consumption livestock
Agricultural Production million t DM/yr Agricultural production
Agricultural Production | Livestock million t DM/yr Agricultural production livestock
Agricultural Production | Non-Energy Crops million t DM/yr Agricultural production non-energy crops
Agricultural Production | Energy Crops million t DM/yr Agricultural production energy crops
Forestry Production | Forest Residues million t DM/yr Forestry production logging residues
Forestry Demand | Roundwood million m3/yr Forestry demand total roundwood for material and energy use
Forestry Demand | Roundwood | Wood Fuel million m3/yr Forestry demand fuelwood for energy use
Forestry Demand | Roundwood | Industrial Roundwood million m3/yr Forestry demand industrial roundwood for material and energy use
Forestry Production | Roundwood million m3/yr Forestry production total roundwood for material and energy use
Forestry Production | Roundwood | Wood Fuel million m3/yr Forestry production fuelwood for energy use
Forestry Production | Roundwood | Industrial Roundwood million m3/yr Forestry production industrial roundwood for material and energy use
Price | Carbon US$2000/tCO2eq Carbon price on CO2, N2O, and CH4 emissions
Primary Energy | Biomass EJ/yr Total biomass potential for bioenergy
Primary Energy | Biomass | Energy Crops EJ/yr Biomass potential for bioenergy from energy crops
Primary Energy | Biomass | Roundwood harvest EJ/yr Biomass potential for bioenergy from roundwood harvest
Primary Energy | Biomass | Logging residues EJ/yr Biomass potential for bioenergy from forest logging residues
Primary Energy | Biomass | Forest industry residues EJ/yr Biomass potential for bioenergy from forest industry residues
Primary Energy | Biomass | Fuelwood EJ/yr Biomass potential for bioenergy from fuelwood
Primary Energy | Biomass | Other Solid EJ/yr Biomass potential for bioenergy from other sources

Loading the table in R

To load the table in R as a tibble and transform it to tidy data, use the following lines of code:

library(tidyverse)
dat <- read_csv("globiom_g4m_lookuptable.csv")
dat <- pivot_longer(dat, cols=as.character(seq(2000, 2100, by=10)), names_to="Year")

User guidelines

The Lookup-Table dataset is free to use under the CC BY 4.0 licence. Please cite our paper when using the dataset.

Frank S, Gusti M, Havlík P, Lauri P, DiFulvio F, Forsell N, Hasegawa T, Krisztin T, Palazzo A, and Valin H (2021). Land based climate change mitigation potentials within the agenda for sustainable development. Environmental Research Letters. Volume 16(2)024006.