RSV1_all.csv and RSV5_all.csv

Year: 2010 to 2023

Month: January "1" through December "12"

IR: Incidence Rate

RSV_predict.R

This file plots the observed and forecasted monthly incidence rate of first-time medically attended RSV in young children (new cases per 1,000,000 person-day).

Change read file read.csv("~/RSV/RSV1_all.csv") (incidence rate in children ages 0 to 1) to RSV5_all.csv to plot the incidence rate in children ages 0 to 5.

Observed incidence rates are colored . The fitted values from 2010 January to 2019 December is a solid line colored . The forecasted values from 2020 January to 2023 January is a dashed line colored .

Technologies

Project is created with:

• R 4.2.2
• RStudio version 2022.12.0+353

Sources

• Harrell, F. E. (2015). Regression modeling strategies: With applications to linear models, logistic and ordinal regression, and survival analysis (2nd ed). Springer.
• Ord, J. K., Fildes, R., & Kourentzes, N. (2017). Principles of business forecasting (2nd ed.). Wessex Press Publishing Co.
• Sheather, S. J. (2009). A modern approach to regression with R. Springer.