At what point will total electrical generation in the United States first be made up of 50% renewable resources?
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https://www.eia.gov/electricity/data/browser/ Monthly data from January 2001 to April 2019
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https://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/annual/showtext.php?t=ptb0802a Yearly data from 1949 to 2011
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https://github.com/facebook/prophet Source code for Facebook Prophet
Cleaned and separated data into a format I could use it.
Learned to better understand my data, implemented further feature engineering.
I tried a few methods, but the one standardized through each notebook is Facebook Prophet, from which predictions were generated and conclusions were able to be reached.
Note: For each notebook, run the imports once with Prophet, then comment that line out. Otherwise, plotting throws an exception.
After going through my predictions and coming to a conclusion in the Cumulative Modeling notebook, the Conclusions notebook is where everything comes together and final predictions are delivered.
| Name | Use |
|---|---|
| Coal | Total of Coal |
| Petroleum | Total of Petroleum(including Petroleum Coke and Petroleum Liquids) |
| Natural Gas | Total of Natural Gas |
| Other Gases | Total of other, miscellaneous gases |
| Nuclear | Total of Nuclear energy |
| Wind | Total of Wind energy |
| Solar | Total of Solar energy(Includes small scale home photovoltatic and utility-scale Solar) |
| Hydroelectric | Total of Hydroelectric Energy |
| Biomass | Total of Biomass energy(includes Biomass wood and Biomass Waste) |
| Geothermal | Total of Geothermal energy |
| Renewable Total | Total of all Renewables |
| Nonrenewable Total | Total of all Nonrenewables |
| Total | Total energy generated |
| Renewable Percentage | Percentage of all energy derived from renewable sources |
| Nonrenewable Percentage | Percentage of all energy derived from nonrenewable sources |