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Summarise data and plot
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Automated committed May 21, 2023
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12 changes: 6 additions & 6 deletions README.md
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Expand Up @@ -50,27 +50,27 @@ These are daily summaries of forecast error from all 48 half-hour windows on eac

| | count | mean | sem | 95% confidence interval |
|:-----------|--------:|-------:|------:|:--------------------------|
| 2023-05-12 | 1374 | 16.72 | 0.37 | (15.99, 17.45) |
| 2023-05-13 | 4197 | 17.18 | 0.18 | (16.83, 17.54) |
| 2023-05-13 | 3936 | 16.11 | 0.18 | (15.76, 16.46) |
| 2023-05-14 | 4224 | 15.85 | 0.2 | (15.45, 16.24) |
| 2023-05-15 | 4202 | 17.66 | 0.17 | (17.33, 17.99) |
| 2023-05-16 | 4170 | 15.84 | 0.18 | (15.49, 16.18) |
| 2023-05-17 | 4150 | 15.3 | 0.2 | (14.92, 15.69) |
| 2023-05-18 | 4182 | 15.99 | 0.25 | (15.5, 16.47) |
| 2023-05-19 | 2816 | 17.8 | 0.25 | (17.31, 18.29) |
| 2023-05-19 | 4224 | 23.71 | 0.27 | (23.17, 24.24) |
| 2023-05-20 | 264 | 48.34 | 0.46 | (47.43, 49.25) |

#### Absolute percentage error

| | mean | sem | 95% confidence interval |
|:-----------|-------:|------:|:--------------------------|
| 2023-05-12 | 12.59 | 0.32 | (11.96, 13.22) |
| 2023-05-13 | 12.85 | 0.16 | (12.54, 13.17) |
| 2023-05-13 | 11.71 | 0.15 | (11.41, 12.01) |
| 2023-05-14 | 10.51 | 0.15 | (10.23, 10.8) |
| 2023-05-15 | 13.91 | 0.13 | (13.65, 14.17) |
| 2023-05-16 | 10.79 | 0.12 | (10.56, 11.02) |
| 2023-05-17 | 7.65 | 0.1 | (7.47, 7.84) |
| 2023-05-18 | 8.95 | 0.14 | (8.66, 9.23) |
| 2023-05-19 | 9.33 | 0.13 | (9.08, 9.59) |
| 2023-05-19 | 14.13 | 0.2 | (13.74, 14.51) |
| 2023-05-20 | 36.66 | 0.36 | (35.94, 37.37) |

## Prior work

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7 changes: 4 additions & 3 deletions charts/stats_history_national.csv
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Expand Up @@ -56,11 +56,12 @@
2023-05-09,3935.0,14.91,0.17,"(14.58, 15.24)",7.59,0.09,"(7.42, 7.76)"
2023-05-10,3830.0,29.29,0.26,"(28.78, 29.8)",14.88,0.13,"(14.63, 15.14)"
2023-05-11,3649.0,18.92,0.21,"(18.51, 19.33)",8.22,0.08,"(8.05, 8.38)"
2023-05-12,1374,16.72,0.37,"(15.99, 17.45)",12.59,0.32,"(11.96, 13.22)"
2023-05-13,4197,17.18,0.18,"(16.83, 17.54)",12.85,0.16,"(12.54, 13.17)"
2023-05-12,1374.0,16.72,0.37,"(15.99, 17.45)",12.59,0.32,"(11.96, 13.22)"
2023-05-13,3936,16.11,0.18,"(15.76, 16.46)",11.71,0.15,"(11.41, 12.01)"
2023-05-14,4224,15.85,0.2,"(15.45, 16.24)",10.51,0.15,"(10.23, 10.8)"
2023-05-15,4202,17.66,0.17,"(17.33, 17.99)",13.91,0.13,"(13.65, 14.17)"
2023-05-16,4170,15.84,0.18,"(15.49, 16.18)",10.79,0.12,"(10.56, 11.02)"
2023-05-17,4150,15.3,0.2,"(14.92, 15.69)",7.65,0.1,"(7.47, 7.84)"
2023-05-18,4182,15.99,0.25,"(15.5, 16.47)",8.95,0.14,"(8.66, 9.23)"
2023-05-19,2816,17.8,0.25,"(17.31, 18.29)",9.33,0.13,"(9.08, 9.59)"
2023-05-19,4224,23.71,0.27,"(23.17, 24.24)",14.13,0.2,"(13.74, 14.51)"
2023-05-20,264,48.34,0.46,"(47.43, 49.25)",36.66,0.36,"(35.94, 37.37)"
97 changes: 97 additions & 0 deletions data/national_fw48h/_archive/2023-05-21T0201Z.csv
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from,intensity.forecast,intensity.actual
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2023-05-23T01:30Z,111,
49 changes: 49 additions & 0 deletions data/national_generation_pt24h/2023-05-21T0231Z.csv
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from,biomass,coal,gas,hydro,imports,nuclear,other,solar,wind
2023-05-20T02:30Z,1.2,0.0,29.2,0.2,24.9,23.0,0.0,0.0,21.5
2023-05-20T03:00Z,1.2,0.0,28.7,0.4,24.7,23.2,0.0,0.0,21.8
2023-05-20T03:30Z,1.2,0.0,26.4,0.4,25.3,23.7,0.0,0.0,22.9
2023-05-20T04:00Z,1.2,0.0,25.8,0.6,26.1,23.1,0.0,0.0,23.1
2023-05-20T04:30Z,1.2,0.0,26.9,0.6,25.0,22.7,0.0,0.8,22.9
2023-05-20T05:00Z,1.1,0.0,27.2,0.8,25.4,21.4,0.0,2.3,21.7
2023-05-20T05:30Z,1.0,0.0,28.6,0.8,24.2,20.3,0.0,4.2,20.8
2023-05-20T06:00Z,1.0,0.0,26.3,0.9,23.8,19.9,0.0,6.7,21.3
2023-05-20T06:30Z,1.0,0.0,22.3,0.9,26.0,19.1,0.0,9.3,21.5
2023-05-20T07:00Z,1.0,0.0,19.2,0.9,25.8,18.8,0.0,12.6,21.7
2023-05-20T07:30Z,0.9,0.0,18.5,0.8,24.7,18.1,0.0,16.2,20.7
2023-05-20T08:00Z,0.9,0.0,16.5,0.8,24.3,17.8,0.0,19.8,20.0
2023-05-20T08:30Z,0.9,0.0,14.7,0.7,23.8,17.4,0.0,23.2,19.2
2023-05-20T09:00Z,0.9,0.0,13.4,0.5,23.4,17.1,0.0,25.8,18.8
2023-05-20T09:30Z,0.9,0.0,12.2,0.5,23.0,16.9,0.0,28.1,18.5
2023-05-20T10:00Z,0.9,0.0,11.3,0.3,22.8,16.7,0.0,29.8,18.3
2023-05-20T10:30Z,0.9,0.0,11.5,0.2,21.6,16.6,0.0,30.7,18.5
2023-05-20T11:00Z,0.9,0.0,11.2,0.2,21.4,16.5,0.0,30.9,19.0
2023-05-20T11:30Z,0.9,0.0,11.2,0.2,20.6,16.6,0.0,31.1,19.4
2023-05-20T12:00Z,0.9,0.0,11.0,0.2,20.6,16.7,0.0,31.4,19.3
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2023-05-20T13:00Z,0.9,0.0,11.3,0.2,19.9,17.4,0.0,31.0,19.3
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2023-05-20T14:00Z,0.9,0.0,11.5,0.2,21.2,17.8,0.0,28.1,20.4
2023-05-20T14:30Z,0.8,0.0,12.0,0.3,23.8,17.5,0.0,25.5,20.1
2023-05-20T15:00Z,0.8,0.0,14.9,0.4,23.7,17.4,0.0,22.5,20.4
2023-05-20T15:30Z,0.8,0.0,19.5,0.6,22.9,16.8,0.0,19.0,20.4
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2023-05-20T16:30Z,0.8,0.0,26.3,0.9,22.4,16.4,0.0,12.7,20.4
2023-05-20T17:00Z,0.8,0.0,28.1,1.4,22.6,16.5,0.0,9.8,20.9
2023-05-20T17:30Z,0.8,0.0,29.2,1.4,23.1,16.9,0.0,7.3,21.4
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2023-05-21T02:00Z,1.6,0.0,27.4,0.2,26.9,23.1,0.0,0.0,20.7
49 changes: 49 additions & 0 deletions data/national_pt24h/_archive/2023-05-21T0231Z.csv
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from,intensity.forecast,intensity.actual
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2023-05-21T01:30Z,113,99.0
2023-05-21T02:00Z,116,
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