dotnet run -- --rpcuser=user --rpcpassword=password

This repository is looking for answers on 2 questions:

1. How much non-mixed bitcoins are entering Wasabi mixes?
2. How much non-mixed bitcoins are leaving Wasabi mixes?

Question (1) provides a comparable metric to traditional centralized mixer volumes and a more accurate measurement of wallet adoption.

Question (2) aims to create a business case for better mixing algorithm, as the change outputs those aren't get re-enqueued to another mix are proof of impatient users and lost mixing opportunity.

Results

Daily Stats

Monthly Stats:

2018-7  Fresh bitcoins: 1,      Nonremixed change: 0            Nonremixed <2 anons: 0                  Nonremixed <5 anons: 0                  Nonremixed <10 anons: 0
2018-8  Fresh bitcoins: 16,     Nonremixed change: 4            Nonremixed <2 anons: 4                  Nonremixed <5 anons: 4                  Nonremixed <10 anons: 5
2018-9  Fresh bitcoins: 49,     Nonremixed change: 11           Nonremixed <2 anons: 11                 Nonremixed <5 anons: 11                 Nonremixed <10 anons: 14
2018-10 Fresh bitcoins: 67,     Nonremixed change: 5            Nonremixed <2 anons: 5                  Nonremixed <5 anons: 5                  Nonremixed <10 anons: 5
2018-11 Fresh bitcoins: 3164,   Nonremixed change: 2504         Nonremixed <2 anons: 2504               Nonremixed <5 anons: 2504               Nonremixed <10 anons: 2504
2018-12 Fresh bitcoins: 1272,   Nonremixed change: 419          Nonremixed <2 anons: 419                Nonremixed <5 anons: 419                Nonremixed <10 anons: 419
2019-1  Fresh bitcoins: 2969,   Nonremixed change: 428          Nonremixed <2 anons: 478                Nonremixed <5 anons: 563                Nonremixed <10 anons: 672
2019-2  Fresh bitcoins: 2235,   Nonremixed change: 313          Nonremixed <2 anons: 381                Nonremixed <5 anons: 510                Nonremixed <10 anons: 609
2019-3  Fresh bitcoins: 3553,   Nonremixed change: 221          Nonremixed <2 anons: 378                Nonremixed <5 anons: 526                Nonremixed <10 anons: 611
2019-4  Fresh bitcoins: 3435,   Nonremixed change: 487          Nonremixed <2 anons: 558                Nonremixed <5 anons: 658                Nonremixed <10 anons: 778
2019-5  Fresh bitcoins: 2988,   Nonremixed change: 278          Nonremixed <2 anons: 313                Nonremixed <5 anons: 412                Nonremixed <10 anons: 543
2019-6  Fresh bitcoins: 5288,   Nonremixed change: 513          Nonremixed <2 anons: 661                Nonremixed <5 anons: 951                Nonremixed <10 anons: 1165
2019-7  Fresh bitcoins: 3754,   Nonremixed change: 255          Nonremixed <2 anons: 282                Nonremixed <5 anons: 347                Nonremixed <10 anons: 436
2019-8  Fresh bitcoins: 20328,  Nonremixed change: 1481         Nonremixed <2 anons: 2276               Nonremixed <5 anons: 4251               Nonremixed <10 anons: 10191
2019-9  Fresh bitcoins: 13456,  Nonremixed change: 506          Nonremixed <2 anons: 857                Nonremixed <5 anons: 2109               Nonremixed <10 anons: 4632
2019-10 Fresh bitcoins: 4802,   Nonremixed change: 215          Nonremixed <2 anons: 252                Nonremixed <5 anons: 340                Nonremixed <10 anons: 495
2019-11 Fresh bitcoins: 4295,   Nonremixed change: 371          Nonremixed <2 anons: 424                Nonremixed <5 anons: 524                Nonremixed <10 anons: 618
2019-12 Fresh bitcoins: 5617,   Nonremixed change: 504          Nonremixed <2 anons: 1152               Nonremixed <5 anons: 1537               Nonremixed <10 anons: 1781
2020-1  Fresh bitcoins: 8125,   Nonremixed change: 969          Nonremixed <2 anons: 2486               Nonremixed <5 anons: 3182               Nonremixed <10 anons: 3501
2020-2  Fresh bitcoins: 7644,   Nonremixed change: 1408         Nonremixed <2 anons: 2401               Nonremixed <5 anons: 3013               Nonremixed <10 anons: 3292
2020-3  Fresh bitcoins: 9489,   Nonremixed change: 961          Nonremixed <2 anons: 2092               Nonremixed <5 anons: 2901               Nonremixed <10 anons: 3403
2020-4  Fresh bitcoins: 7651,   Nonremixed change: 636          Nonremixed <2 anons: 1314               Nonremixed <5 anons: 1817               Nonremixed <10 anons: 2185

Understanding The Results

Fresh Bitcoins

Fresh bitcoins coming into Wasabi every month. This is the most accurate measure of the adoption of the wallet I can think of.

Non-remixed change

A user who mixes does not always get back mixed coins. However these unmixed changes should be enqueued into another mix in order to be mixed. The graph illustrates how many unmixed bitcoins aren't enqueued to another mix. It also shows non-remixed coins - those only achieved 2, 5, and 10 anonymity sets. This is a lost opportunity for Wasabi. It is a proof of inefficient mixing algorithm.

Wasabi Inefficiency

This is a derived metric from fresh bitcoins coming into Wasabi and non-remixed changes leaving Wasabi. It shows the inefficientcy of Wasabi percentage.

For example in December: 9% of coins those participated in Wasabi mixes have never been mixed, 20% of the coins were only been mixed with 2 or less anonymity set, 27% of the coins were only been mixed with 5 or less anonymity set, 31% of the coins were only been mixed with 2 or less anonymity set.

Also note that, since remixing is impossible to detect, the larger the threashold grows, the more inaccurate these reults are. While I would be interested in how many of Wasabi coins were mixed with 50 anonset at least, I belive calculating it with my current algorithm would yield inaccurate results.