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Phalen-Bridgeford-Gant-Kivisto-Ray-Fitzgerald

R script for "Baltimore Ceasefire 365: Estimated impact of a recurring community-led ceasefire on gun violence"

This folder contains the complete code and data necessary to reproduce the associated paper published in the American Journal of Public Health. View the annotated script with embedded output at ceasefire_R_script_markdown_output.pdf.

The script pulls from BPD_Part_1_Victim_Based_Crime_Data.csv which contains every victim-based crime reported by the City of Baltimore between January 1, 2012 and July 6, 2019, and uses it to fit a Bayesian multilevel model to estimate the effect of ceasefires on gun violence in Baltimore after accounting for yearly seasonality, weekday effects, calendar day effects, and overall trends.

ceasefire_R_script_markdown.Rmd contains the associated markdown script.