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Results from 2023 predictions: https://github.com/pffy/2023

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Results of Predictions for 2023

This repo compares actual outcomes to predictions for 2023.

We predicted in 2023:

  • Jack Dorsey returns as CEO of Twitter.

    • WRONG
  • The Federal Reserve issues FOMC statement that explains impromptu emergency interest rate hike.

    • WRONG
  • Google lays off 50% of its workforce.

  • MacKenzie Scott and Laurene Powell Jobs fund a new digital equity initiative, run by Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez. The "AOC Foundation" uses its billion-dollar endowment to help new ideas reach audiences more effectively.

    • WRONG. The "wokeness fad" is over.
  • YouTube buys radio station to broadcast top influencers on AM/FM radios.

    • WRONG
  • National Public Radio (NPR) shuts down, after losing federal funding and underwriters.

    • WRONG
  • JP Morgan ($JPM) acquires Bank of America for about $5 per share.

    • WRONG. Community banking crisis was addressed quickly, containing the contagion.
  • NYU Professor Jeff Jarvis joins faculty at either Oxford or Cambridge.

    • WRONG
  • Governors in western states deploy National Guard troops to quell armed skirmishes over water rights.

    • WRONG. Cooler heads prevailed and a common sense agreement was reached.
  • Heavy dust storms accelerate the Phase 4 corrosion of power transmission steel lattice towers. Power outages and steel shortages follow.

    • WRONG. No dust bowl.
  • After winning Super Bowl LVII with the Tampa Bay Buccaneers, Tom Brady retires to become an avocado farmer.

    • Brady retired; he is now an analyst.
  • Tom Brady announces the National Strategic Avocado Reserve.

    • WRONG
  • Elon Musk buys New York Times.

    • WRONG. Missed opportunity for guaranteed daily active user audience.
  • Autobahn-like highway tested in Texas.

    • WRONG.
  • Kara Swisher wins both the Peabody Award and Pulitzer Prize in the same year.

  • NYU Professor Scott Galloway is named Time's Person of the Year.

    • WRONG. Feminism had a moment. Better luck next year.
  • Maggie Haberman is appointed editor-in-chief of Washington Post.

    • WRONG.
  • Warren Buffet retires.

    • WRONG.
  • McDonald's ($MCD) is acquired by Asia-based private equity giant and is taken private. This gives time to restructure debt.

    • WRONG. However, lag effects of monetary policy still unseen.
  • Burger King ($QRS) is acquired by Europe-based private equity firm. The firm spins off the Whopper into its own burger shop, like Shake Shack or In-N-Out burger.

    • WRONG. However, lag effects of monetary policy still unseen.
  • Airbnb adds mixed-use retail space to rental inventory for pop-up stores.

    • WRONG
  • Microsoft introduces next-generation police force protection gear, featuring the HoloLens as a situation-aware mixed reality headset.

    • WRONG.
  • Amazon starts vertical farming fresh produce in New York City and Paris.

    • WRONG
  • Arnold Schwarzenegger says "if you cut off one head, two more shall take its place" in the Marvel Cinematic Universe for the first time; the movie trailer alone shatters the all-time views record on YouTube.

    • WRONG
  • Climate change forces many states to pass new tornado and flood insurance laws.

    • WRONG
  • San Francisco Bay Area shut down by blizzard.

    • WRONG!