County COVID-19 Compartmental Models

Tools for forecasting COVID-19 Propagation at the US County Level. We implement a generalized comparmental model based on the SEIR formalism.

Dynamical Model Transitions

Examples

Flatten the Curve

The top figure represents unsupressed COVID19 flow through the population, while the second figure demonstrates the impact of distancing policies.

Installation

Install miniconda python 3.7 from here https://docs.conda.io/en/latest/miniconda.html

Execute conda env create -f environment.yaml

Activate the environment here.. conda activate pyseir

Installing pyseir

Change to into the county_covid_seir_models directory pip install -e .

Download Data Locally

The following will cache data for local use. pyseir download-data