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Materials for ARE212

A pdf version of this file can be found at README.pdf

General Policies

Grading

Final Exam

The final exam will be “take-home”, and be made available by 6pm on Monday, May 11. It will be due 24 hours later, by 6pm Tuesday May 12.

Readings

  • “Hansen” refers to Gary Hansen’s Econometrics Textbook.
  • Unresolved references of the form “cite:foo84” or similar are keys with values that can be looked up in are212.bib. This last is a bibtex database which you’re free to use. The bibtex file includes some links to pdf files which you may find useful.

Discussion Sections

When: Fridays 10:10-11am

Where: Zoom

Benjamin Krause’s Personal Meeting Room

Join Zoom Meeting https://berkeley.zoom.us/j/5519986624

Meeting ID: 551 998 6624 One tap mobile +16692192599,,5519986624# US (San Jose) +16699006833,,5519986624# US (San Jose)

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Join by SIP 5519986624@zoomcrc.com

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Discussion Section Materials

Learning goals for this series of discussion sections

  • Build off of skills we developed with R to provide a basic familiarity of coding in Python (and deepen your overall understanding of coding for econometrics in the process)
  • Move from (potentially) no previous Python experience to being able to follow lecture applications and engage in bcourses discussions via Python

GSI expectations for the rest of the semester

  • See the Discussion Section Syllabus for general information.
  • Office Hours are going to continue to be by appointment, and primarily via email.

Reminder of Additional Services and Support

Videos

See ARE212 Youtube Channel for videos of lectures, etc.

HowTos

GitHub
How to view, files, fork, edit, and issue pull requests (PRs). https://youtu.be/krDQk5ZzP8U
GitHub to DataHub
How to use datahub to run & edit code from github: https://youtu.be/lY4D-Li3UgY

Topics

Multiple Equation Models

  • Notes on Multiple Linear Equation Models
  • Reading
    • Hansen Ch. 11. General contemporary reference on systems of linear regressions.
    • fullcite:haavelmo44. Classic discussion of the “probability approach” to estimating economic models; one of the key documents distinguishing econometrics from statistics; one of the key
    • fullcite:christ94. Discussion of the birth of econometrics at the Cowles Commission; beyond its historical importance, worth reading to understand the source of much of the jargon we now use.
    • cite:stock-trebbi03,wright1921,wright1928 (Appendix B). On the origins of instrumental variables. The Wright papers are some of the earliest and clearest discussions of identification.
  • Jupyter notebooks

Causality & Correlation

  • Notes on Causality & Correlation
  • Reading
    • fullcite:frisch30. Highly insightful and only recently published lectures Frisch gave at Yale in 1930.
    • fullcite:haavelmo43. A founding document of the structural (Cowles Commission) approach to economics.
    • fullcite:haavelmo44. Classic statement regarding the “probability approach” to economics.
    • fullcite:goldberger72. Insightful, historically informed reflections on identification of structural models in economics.
    • fullcite:pearl15,heckman-pinto15,pearl13. Back and forth between Pearl & Heckman/Pinto. They agree on one thing: Frisch & Haavelmo were right.
    • fullcite:pearl09. Pearl’s textbook on causality.
    • fullcite:friedman53. Classic essay on the usefulness of “falsifying” economic models and the role of assumptions.
    • Stanford Encyclopedia of Philosophy, “The Problem of Induction”
    • Hume, An enquiry concerning human understanding
    • Sewell Wright https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC1200501/pdf/111.pdf
    • fullcite:imbens-rubin15. Up-to-date statement and discussion of the Neyman-Rubin potential outcomes model, with focus on the assignment model.
    • fullcite:heckman10. Contemporary survey comparing “reduced form” and “structural” approaches to causal inference.
    • fullcite:heckman97. Critique of potential outcome approach in program evaluation.
  • Jupyter notebooks

Identification & Instrumental Variables

Generalized Method of Moments

  • Notes on GMM
  • Reading
    • Hansen Chapter 13
    • Review normal linear regression model (E.g., Hansen Chapter 5)
    • fullcite:chamberlain87
    • fullcite:newey-west87a
  • Further notes on GMM Estimation
  • Jupyter notebook exploring GMM in finite samples (github/datahub)

Resampling & the Bootstrap

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