Reduce person-to-person contact in order to make spreading the disease less likely. Spread out the spread of disease in time as much as possible to allow hospitals to help every sick patient to minimize deaths, increase survival rate.
Simulate the situation using SEIR epidemiological model
- S = Sucsceptible
- E = Exposed
- I = Infected
- R = Recovered
Population moves from one stage to the other. dS/dt = - rho * beta * S * I dE/dt = (rho * beta * S * I) - (alpha * I) dI/dt = (alpha * E) - (gamma * I) dR/dt = gamma * I
N = S + E + I + R (total population is fixed)
rho is the social distancing effect (Contact rate between people)
Rho = 1 means no social distancing. 0 means everyone is locked down.
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