+ xunwu survey

yowenter · Apr 21, 2018 · 4fa2de0 · 4fa2de0
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diff --git a/build/doctrees/environment.pickle b/build/doctrees/environment.pickle
diff --git a/build/doctrees/feed.doctree b/build/doctrees/feed.doctree
diff --git a/build/doctrees/index.doctree b/build/doctrees/index.doctree
diff --git a/build/doctrees/thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.doctree b/build/doctrees/thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.doctree
diff --git a/build/doctrees/travel/koland.doctree b/build/doctrees/travel/koland.doctree
diff --git a/build/doctrees/travel/thailand_2017_06_15.doctree b/build/doctrees/travel/thailand_2017_06_15.doctree
diff --git a/build/doctrees/travel/thoughts_in_another_country.doctree b/build/doctrees/travel/thoughts_in_another_country.doctree
diff --git a/build/html/_images/xunwu_survey.jpg b/build/html/_images/xunwu_survey.jpg
diff --git a/build/html/_sources/feed.rst.txt b/build/html/_sources/feed.rst.txt
@@ -14,6 +14,8 @@
    :description: 所见，所闻，所思
    :link: http://blog.heytaoge.com/
 
+
+   thoughts/xunwu_survey_method
    programming/understanding_program
    thoughts/trade_off_and_chose
    thoughts/the_flow_of_information

diff --git a/build/html/_sources/index.rst.txt b/build/html/_sources/index.rst.txt
@@ -11,6 +11,7 @@ y.o O
 .. toctree::
    :glob:
 
+   thoughts/xunwu_survey_method
    programming/understanding_program
    thoughts/trade_off_and_chose
    thoughts/the_flow_of_information

diff --git a/build/html/_sources/thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.rst.txt b/build/html/_sources/thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.rst.txt
@@ -0,0 +1,85 @@
+毛选寻乌调查观感
+==========================
+
+
+.. meta::
+
+   :keywords: 寻乌调查, 毛选, 毛泽东, 宏观经济
+
+
+
+| 上周日闲来无事, 原是去找 Eric 联机 Switch 星之卡比的. 
+| 可惜技术菜, 无甚乐趣. 
+| 于是就借了下他的 kindle, 发现毛选全 8 卷, 翻到《寻乌调查》.
+
+
+调查的目的是什么
+------------------
+
+| 做一个调查, 当然是有目的的. 
+| 如果没有目的, 那最多只能是小资情调, 走马观花, 得不到真见识.
+| 毛做这个调查, 虽然文中没有明确指出目的. 
+| 但细细观察, 就能发现 了解商业状况和各阶级的生活状况, 才能知道对待商业资产阶级和争取贫民群众的策略.
+| 这也就是为后来的 “打土豪, 分田地” 这一战略作充分了论据准备. 
+
+
+抽样方法
+----------------
+
+| 调查什么? 怎么调查? 调查如果毫无章法, 随意拼凑, 自然无法说服人.
+| 选择寻乌这个地方, 是因为寻乌在 闽粤赣 三省的交界, 知道这个县的情况, 三省各界各县的情况也就相差不远.
+| 所以寻乌这个地方很有代表性, 也就是抽样调查的核心, 从而一叶知秋也.
+
+.. image:: /_static/xunwu_survey.jpg
+	:height: 500px
+	:width:  600px
+
+
+调查的要素
+-------------------
+
+| 调查其实就是解决问题, 先解决主要矛盾, 再解决次要矛盾. 
+| 毛先从政治区域, 交通, 主要进出口, 大宗商品等 宏观数据调查, 再一家家商铺, 一个个人的故事讲解. 
+| 先鸟瞰, 再细分. 如同清明上河图一般, 先有一个大概的生活图景, 然后观察每个人的动作表情, 可谓妙趣横生.
+
+
+| 政治区域大概就是几个区的划分, 此处略过.
+| 比较有信息量的是, 交通、主要进出口、大宗商品这一块.
+| 交通分陆运和水运. 陆运的主要运输工具是人力(扛,背..), 水运自然是船只.
+| 相比之下, 水运成本比陆运成本低. 其实现在也差不多, 海运比陆运成本更低. 所以, 世界上的主要港口城市, 经济都比较发达. 比如上海.
+| 进出口这块, 主要是出口梅县和兴宁. 大米主要出口给梅县. 茶叶主要出口到兴宁.
+| 大宗商品, 也就是居民生活的基础, 主要是盐等. 这些基础商品的价格决定着居民生活消费水平 (CPI). 
+
+
+| 有一点需要提的是无业游民(就是不工不农不商的游民, 专门靠赌博和敲诈的流氓),人数超过商人一倍, 和手工业者数量几乎相等. 
+| 也就是说, 就业率很低. 一个国家就业率低, Maybe 就会有动乱的风险. 所以, 当时的社会结构可见一斑.
+| 人口成分(农民中贫农占80%以上), 税收(各种..), 利息(高利贷..), 文化水平(识字率低), 意识形态(大地主为了享乐,不增值资本. 中小地主借钱收高利贷,为了吞并土地. ) 等等面面俱到.
+
+
+| 如果上述的数据只是一张照片的话, 那么, 毛还比较了过去(光绪年间)的商业.
+| 比如近来梅县的洋货生意和兴宁的布匹生意发展, 使得赣州的生意减少. 
+| 还有因为政策制度的变更, 导致绸缎生意的减少. 
+| 昔非今比的状况一目了然.
+
+
+| 除了上述的宏观数据, 毛还调查了一个个商铺的发家史(看完这些发家史, 给一个人算命大概不会差到哪里去..), 一个个贫农的故事(卖奶子[儿子]), 还有歌谣(月光光..) 等等..
+
+
+| 看完上述调查, “旧社会是吃人的社会” 这样的结论也就更加有说服力. 
+| 同时为日后的 “农村包围城市”, “打土豪分田地” 等战略提供论据.  
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+
+.. feed-entry::
+	   :author: Taoge
+	   :date: 2018-04-21
diff --git a/build/html/_static/xunwu_survey.jpg b/build/html/_static/xunwu_survey.jpg
diff --git a/build/html/about_tech.html b/build/html/about_tech.html
@@ -140,6 +140,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/economics/a_programmer_economic_sense_1.html b/build/html/economics/a_programmer_economic_sense_1.html
@@ -148,6 +148,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="../index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/feed.html b/build/html/feed.html
@@ -5,7 +5,8 @@
 <html xmlns="http://www.w3.org/1999/xhtml">
   <head>
     <meta http-equiv="Content-Type" content="text/html; charset=utf-8" />
-    <meta content="programming, computation, turing machine" name="keywords" />
+    <meta content="寻乌调查, 毛选, 毛泽东, 宏观经济" name="keywords" />
+<meta content="programming, computation, turing machine" name="keywords" />
 <meta content="层次分析法, 权衡" name="keywords" />
 <meta content="信息流, 信息推荐, 信息流优化, 焦躁的信息" name="keywords" />
 <meta content="如何解决问题" name="description" />
@@ -94,6 +95,68 @@ <h1>订阅 Rss<a class="headerlink" href="#rss" title="Permalink to this headlin
 <div class="toctree-wrapper compound">
 </div>
 <div class="section" id="id1">
+<h2><a class="feed-ref reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html#id1">毛选寻乌调查观感</a><a class="headerlink" href="#id1" title="Permalink to this headline">¶</a></h2>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">上周日闲来无事, 原是去找 Eric 联机 Switch 星之卡比的.</div>
+<div class="line">可惜技术菜, 无甚乐趣.</div>
+<div class="line">于是就借了下他的 kindle, 发现毛选全 8 卷, 翻到《寻乌调查》.</div>
+</div>
+<div class="section" id="id2">
+<h3>调查的目的是什么<a class="headerlink" href="#id2" title="Permalink to this headline">¶</a></h3>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">做一个调查, 当然是有目的的.</div>
+<div class="line">如果没有目的, 那最多只能是小资情调, 走马观花, 得不到真见识.</div>
+<div class="line">毛做这个调查, 虽然文中没有明确指出目的.</div>
+<div class="line">但细细观察, 就能发现 了解商业状况和各阶级的生活状况, 才能知道对待商业资产阶级和争取贫民群众的策略.</div>
+<div class="line">这也就是为后来的 “打土豪, 分田地” 这一战略作充分了论据准备.</div>
+</div>
+</div>
+<div class="section" id="id3">
+<h3>抽样方法<a class="headerlink" href="#id3" title="Permalink to this headline">¶</a></h3>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">调查什么? 怎么调查? 调查如果毫无章法, 随意拼凑, 自然无法说服人.</div>
+<div class="line">选择寻乌这个地方, 是因为寻乌在 闽粤赣 三省的交界, 知道这个县的情况, 三省各界各县的情况也就相差不远.</div>
+<div class="line">所以寻乌这个地方很有代表性, 也就是抽样调查的核心, 从而一叶知秋也.</div>
+</div>
+<a class="reference internal image-reference" href="_images/xunwu_survey.jpg"><img alt="_images/xunwu_survey.jpg" src="_images/xunwu_survey.jpg" style="width: 600px; height: 500px;" /></a>
+</div>
+<div class="section" id="id4">
+<h3>调查的要素<a class="headerlink" href="#id4" title="Permalink to this headline">¶</a></h3>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">调查其实就是解决问题, 先解决主要矛盾, 再解决次要矛盾.</div>
+<div class="line">毛先从政治区域, 交通, 主要进出口, 大宗商品等 宏观数据调查, 再一家家商铺, 一个个人的故事讲解.</div>
+<div class="line">先鸟瞰, 再细分. 如同清明上河图一般, 先有一个大概的生活图景, 然后观察每个人的动作表情, 可谓妙趣横生.</div>
+</div>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">政治区域大概就是几个区的划分, 此处略过.</div>
+<div class="line">比较有信息量的是, 交通、主要进出口、大宗商品这一块.</div>
+<div class="line">交通分陆运和水运. 陆运的主要运输工具是人力(扛,背..), 水运自然是船只.</div>
+<div class="line">相比之下, 水运成本比陆运成本低. 其实现在也差不多, 海运比陆运成本更低. 所以, 世界上的主要港口城市, 经济都比较发达. 比如上海.</div>
+<div class="line">进出口这块, 主要是出口梅县和兴宁. 大米主要出口给梅县. 茶叶主要出口到兴宁.</div>
+<div class="line">大宗商品, 也就是居民生活的基础, 主要是盐等. 这些基础商品的价格决定着居民生活消费水平 (CPI).</div>
+</div>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">有一点需要提的是无业游民(就是不工不农不商的游民, 专门靠赌博和敲诈的流氓),人数超过商人一倍, 和手工业者数量几乎相等.</div>
+<div class="line">也就是说, 就业率很低. 一个国家就业率低, Maybe 就会有动乱的风险. 所以, 当时的社会结构可见一斑.</div>
+<div class="line">人口成分(农民中贫农占80%以上), 税收(各种..), 利息(高利贷..), 文化水平(识字率低), 意识形态(大地主为了享乐,不增值资本. 中小地主借钱收高利贷,为了吞并土地. ) 等等面面俱到.</div>
+</div>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">如果上述的数据只是一张照片的话, 那么, 毛还比较了过去(光绪年间)的商业.</div>
+<div class="line">比如近来梅县的洋货生意和兴宁的布匹生意发展, 使得赣州的生意减少.</div>
+<div class="line">还有因为政策制度的变更, 导致绸缎生意的减少.</div>
+<div class="line">昔非今比的状况一目了然.</div>
+</div>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">除了上述的宏观数据, 毛还调查了一个个商铺的发家史(看完这些发家史, 给一个人算命大概不会差到哪里去..), 一个个贫农的故事(卖奶子[儿子]), 还有歌谣(月光光..) 等等..</div>
+</div>
+<div class="line-block">
+<div class="line">看完上述调查, “旧社会是吃人的社会” 这样的结论也就更加有说服力.</div>
+<div class="line">同时为日后的 “农村包围城市”, “打土豪分田地” 等战略提供论据.</div>
+</div>
+<p class="feed-meta">Published by <em class="feed-author">Taoge</em> on <em class="feed-date">2018-04-21</em></p>
+</div>
+</div>
+<div class="section" id="id1">
 <h2><a class="feed-ref reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html#id1">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a><a class="headerlink" href="#id1" title="Permalink to this headline">¶</a></h2>
 <p><strong>屏障</strong>:</p>
 <div class="highlight-default"><div class="highlight"><pre><span></span>光速是 3*10^8 m/s，我追不上。
@@ -1308,6 +1371,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>
@@ -1332,6 +1396,7 @@ <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="manage/time_manage.html">3 分钟学会时间管理</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="other_platform.html">未收录文章</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1 current"><a class="current reference internal" href="#">订阅 Rss</a><ul>
+<li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/genindex.html b/build/html/genindex.html
@@ -105,6 +105,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul>
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/hadoop/hadoop_install.html b/build/html/hadoop/hadoop_install.html
@@ -279,6 +279,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="../index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/hadoop/map_reduce.html b/build/html/hadoop/map_reduce.html
@@ -185,6 +185,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="../index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/hadoop/yarn_debug.html b/build/html/hadoop/yarn_debug.html
@@ -246,6 +246,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="../index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="../thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a></li>

diff --git a/build/html/hadoop_intro.html b/build/html/hadoop_intro.html
@@ -131,6 +131,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="index.html">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul class="current">
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
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diff --git a/build/html/index.html b/build/html/index.html
@@ -25,7 +25,7 @@
     </script>
     <link rel="index" title="Index" href="genindex.html" />
     <link rel="search" title="Search" href="search.html" />
-    <link rel="next" title="函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔" href="programming/understanding_program.html" />
+    <link rel="next" title="毛选寻乌调查观感" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html" />
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width"></meta>
 	<link rel="alternate"
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@@ -84,6 +84,12 @@
 <h1>y.o O<a class="headerlink" href="#y-o-o" title="Permalink to this headline">¶</a></h1>
 <div class="toctree-wrapper compound">
 <ul>
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a><ul>
+<li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html#id2">调查的目的是什么</a></li>
+<li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html#id3">抽样方法</a></li>
+<li class="toctree-l2"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html#id4">调查的要素</a></li>
+</ul>
+</li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/the_flow_of_information.html">信息爆炸下的冲浪指南</a><ul>
@@ -217,6 +223,7 @@ <h1 class="logo"><a href="#">Y f = f (Y f)</a></h1>
 
 <h3>Navigation</h3>
 <ul>
+<li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/xunwu_survey_method.html">毛选寻乌调查观感</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="programming/understanding_program.html">函数里的精灵及其发现的金字塔</a></li>
 <li class="toctree-l1"><a class="reference internal" href="thoughts/trade_off_and_chose.html">选一个海岛</a></li>
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