The coronavirus (COVID-19) pandemic has spread across 190 countries infecting 4.2 lakh people and killing 16,500. In India, as many as 562 COVID-19 cases have been reported. Of these, 37 have recovered and 10 have died.
On March 24, Prime Minister Narendra Modi annouced that the country would go under 21-day lackdown to combat the spread of the virus. Infections are rapidly rising in Italy, France, Germany, Spain, United Kingdom and the United States. It has has a massive impact on the global economy and stock markets
The outbreak of COVID-19 is developing into a major international crisis, and it's starting to influence important aspects of daily life. For example in India:
Travel: Complete lockdown no domestic or international flights are allowed in India for till next 21 days as decided by Ministry of Civil Aviation. Grocery stores: In highly affected areas, people are starting to stock up on essential goods leading to shortage of essential stuff.
On 25th March Afternoon India has reported its 9th death with 562 total confirmed cases due to COVID-19. Fresh cases from states like Manipur, Bihar, Gujrat, and Madhya Pradhesh have been reported by the Union Ministry of Health and Family Welfare(MoHFW).
As the coronavirus outbreak continues to spread in the country, the question that we as Indians are trying to answer is :
"Will India be able to tackle this pandemic or are we going to witness another Italy/ S.Korea/ Wuhan?"
We need a strong model that predicts how the virus could spread across different countries and regions. The goal of this task is to build a model that predicts the spread of the virus in the next 7 days.
Analysing the present condition in India. Is this trend similar to Italy/S. Korea/ Wuhan. Exploring the world wide data. Forecasting the world wide COVID-19 cases using Prophet.
Will Indian become the next Italy/ S.Korea/ Wuhan?
Yes, if you look at the world's data and its forecast you can say that India might face one of its worst days if we are not taking strict measures against COVID-19.