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solve.jl
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solve.jl
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"""
```
solve(m::AbstractDSGEModel)
```
Driver to compute the model solution and augment transition matrices.
### Inputs
- `m`: the model object
## Keyword Arguments
- `regime_switching::Bool`: true if the state space system features regime switching
- `regimes::Union{Int, Vector{Int}, UnitRange{Int}}`: specifies the specific regime to solve for.
### Outputs
- TTT, RRR, and CCC matrices of the state transition equation:
```
S_t = TTT*S_{t-1} + RRR*ϵ_t + CCC
```
"""
function solve(m::AbstractDSGEModel{T}; regime_switching::Bool = false,
gensys_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = UnitRange{Int64}[1:1],
gensys2_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = Vector{UnitRange{Int}}(undef, 0),
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1],
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {T <: Real}
uncertain_altpolicy = haskey(get_settings(m), :uncertain_altpolicy) && get_setting(m, :uncertain_altpolicy)
if regime_switching
return solve_regime_switching(m; gensys_regimes = gensys_regimes,
gensys2_regimes = gensys2_regimes, regimes = regimes,
uncertain_altpolicy = uncertain_altpolicy,
verbose = verbose)
else
# do NOT delete this Boolean for apply_altpolicy; it is needed for
# the scenarios code, which continues to use :alternative_policy as a Setting,
# AND for implementing imperfect awareness via uncertain_altpolicy
apply_altpolicy = haskey(get_settings(m), :alternative_policy) && get_setting(m, :alternative_policy).solve != solve
if get_setting(m, :solution_method) == :gensys
if !apply_altpolicy
# Get equilibrium condition matrices
Γ0, Γ1, C, Ψ, Π = eqcond(m)
# Solve model
TTT_gensys, CCC_gensys, RRR_gensys, eu = gensys(Γ0, Γ1, C, Ψ, Π, 1+1e-6, verbose = verbose)
# Check for LAPACK exception, existence and uniqueness
if eu[1] != 1 || eu[2] != 1
throw(GensysError())
end
TTT_gensys = real(TTT_gensys)
RRR_gensys = real(RRR_gensys)
CCC_gensys = real(CCC_gensys)
# Augment states
TTT, RRR, CCC = augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys)
else
# do NOT delete this else block; it is needed for
# the scenarios code, which continues to use :alternative_policy as a Setting
# and the original method for implementing alternative policies
# (when DSGE.jl was created in 2015)
# AND for implementing imperfect awareness via uncertain_altpolicy
# Change the policy rule
TTT, RRR, CCC = get_setting(m, :alternative_policy).solve(m)
end
if uncertain_altpolicy && apply_altpolicy
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[1].weights
altpols = get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)
TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys =
gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, altpols; TTT = TTT[inds, inds])
# Augment states
TTT, RRR, CCC = augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys)
end
elseif get_setting(m, :solution_method) == :klein
TTT_jump, TTT_state = klein(m)
# Transition
TTT, RRR = klein_transition_matrices(m, TTT_state, TTT_jump)
CCC = zeros(n_model_states(m))
end
return TTT, RRR, CCC
end
end
"""
solve(m::PoolModel)
```
Driver to compute the model solution when using the PoolModel type
### Inputs
- `m`: the PoolModel object
### Outputs
- Φ: transition function
- F_ϵ: distribution of structural shock
- F_λ: prior on the initial λ_0
"""
function solve(m::PoolModel)
return transition(m)
end
"""
```
GensysError <: Exception
```
A `GensysError` is thrown when:
1. Gensys does not give existence and uniqueness, or
2. A LAPACK error was thrown while computing the Schur decomposition of Γ0 and Γ1
If a `GensysError`is thrown during Metropolis-Hastings, it is caught by
`posterior`. `posterior` then returns a value of `-Inf`, which
Metropolis-Hastings always rejects.
### Fields
* `msg::String`: Info message. Default = \"Error in Gensys\"
"""
mutable struct GensysError <: Exception
msg::String
end
GensysError() = GensysError("Error in Gensys")
Base.showerror(io::IO, ex::GensysError) = print(io, ex.msg)
"""
```
KleinError <: Exception
```
A `KleinError` is thrown when:
1. A LAPACK error was thrown while computing the pseudo-inverse of U22*U22'
If a `KleinError`is thrown during Metropolis-Hastings, it is caught by
`posterior`. `posterior` then returns a value of `-Inf`, which
Metropolis-Hastings always rejects.
### Fields
* `msg::String`: Info message. Default = \"Error in Klein\"
"""
mutable struct KleinError <: Exception
msg::String
end
KleinError() = KleinError("Error in Klein")
Base.showerror(io::IO, ex::KleinError) = print(io, ex.msg)
"""
```
solve_regime_switching(m::AbstractDSGEModel)
solve_one_regime(m::AbstractDSGEModel)
solve_non_gensys2_regimes!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ01::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}};
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}};
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1], uncertain_altpolicy::Bool = false,
altpolicy_solve::Function = solve, verbose::Symbol = :high)
solve_gensys2!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ01::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}},
TTT_gensys_final::AbstractMatrix{S}, RRR_gensys_final::AbstractMatrix{S},
CCC_gensys_final::AbstractMatrix{S},
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}};
fcast_gensys2_regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1], verbose::Symbol = :high)
```
calculates the reduced form state transition matrices in the case of regime switching.
These functions are intended to be internal functions hidden from the user but are separate
from the definition of the main `solve` function to ensure the main function is
comprehensible.
"""
function solve_regime_switching(m::AbstractDSGEModel{T};
uncertain_altpolicy::Bool = false,
gensys_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = UnitRange{Int64}[1:1],
gensys2_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = Vector{UnitRange{Int64}}(undef, 0),
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1],
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {T <: Real}
altpolicy_solve = alternative_policy(m).solve
gensys2 = haskey(get_settings(m), :gensys2) && get_setting(m, :gensys2)
uncertain_temporary_altpolicy = haskey(get_settings(m), :uncertain_temporary_altpolicy) && get_setting(m, :uncertain_temporary_altpolicy)
replace_eqcond = haskey(get_settings(m), :replace_eqcond) && get_setting(m, :replace_eqcond)
if get_setting(m, :solution_method) == :gensys
if length(regimes) == 1 # Calculate the solution to a specific regime
return solve_one_regime(m; regime = regimes[1],
uncertain_altpolicy = uncertain_altpolicy, verbose = verbose)
else # Calculate the reduced-form state space matrices for all regimes
Γ0s = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Γ1s = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Cs = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Ψs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Πs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
do_replace_eqcond = haskey(get_settings(m), :replace_eqcond) && get_setting(m, :replace_eqcond) &&
haskey(get_settings(m), :regime_eqcond_info)
has_eqcond_reg_map = haskey(get_settings(m), :identical_eqcond_regimes)
for reg in regimes
if has_eqcond_reg_map && haskey(get_setting(m, :identical_eqcond_regimes), reg)
reg_to_copy = get_setting(m, :identical_eqcond_regimes)[reg]
Γ0s[reg] = copy(Γ0s[reg_to_copy])
Γ1s[reg] = copy(Γ1s[reg_to_copy])
Cs[reg] = copy( Cs[reg_to_copy])
Ψs[reg] = copy( Ψs[reg_to_copy])
Πs[reg] = copy( Πs[reg_to_copy])
else
Γ0s[reg], Γ1s[reg], Cs[reg], Ψs[reg], Πs[reg] = do_replace_eqcond && haskey(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info), reg) ?
get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].alternative_policy.eqcond(m, reg) : eqcond(m, reg)
end
end
TTTs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
RRRs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
CCCs = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
# Solve model for gensys regimes
for reg_range in gensys_regimes
solve_non_gensys2_regimes!(m, Γ0s, Γ1s, Cs, Ψs, Πs, TTTs, RRRs, CCCs;
regimes = collect(reg_range),
uncertain_altpolicy = uncertain_altpolicy,
verbose = verbose)
end
# Solve for gensys2 regimes
if gensys2
for reg_range in gensys2_regimes
solve_gensys2!(m, Γ0s, Γ1s, Cs, Ψs, Πs,
TTTs, RRRs, CCCs; gensys2_regimes = collect(reg_range),
uncertain_altpolicy = uncertain_altpolicy,
uncertain_temporary_altpolicy = uncertain_temporary_altpolicy,
verbose = verbose)
end
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end
else
error("Regime switching has not been implemented for other solution methods.")
end
end
function solve_one_regime(m::AbstractDSGEModel{T}; regime::Int = 1, uncertain_altpolicy::Bool = false,
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {T <: Real}
# do NOT delete the second part of the Boolean for apply_altpolicy; it is needed for
# the scenarios code, which continues to use :alternative_policy as a Setting
apply_altpolicy = haskey(get_settings(m), :regime_eqcond_info) ||
(haskey(get_settings(m), :alternative_policy) && get_setting(m, :alternative_policy).key != :historical)
altpolicy_solve = alternative_policy(m).solve
if altpolicy_solve == solve || !apply_altpolicy
# Get equilibrium condition matrices
Γ0, Γ1, C, Ψ, Π = eqcond(m, regime)
# Solve model
TTT_gensys, CCC_gensys, RRR_gensys, eu = gensys(Γ0, Γ1, C, Ψ, Π, 1+1e-6, verbose = verbose)
# Check for LAPACK exception, existence and uniqueness
if eu[1] != 1 || eu[2] != 1
throw(GensysError())
end
TTT_gensys = real(TTT_gensys)
RRR_gensys = real(RRR_gensys)
CCC_gensys = real(CCC_gensys)
# Augment states
TTT, RRR, CCC = augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys; regime_switching = true,
reg = regime)
else
TTT, RRR, CCC = altpolicy_solve(m; regime_switching = true, regimes = Int[regime])
end
if uncertain_altpolicy && apply_altpolicy
# Since we only have one regime in solve_one_regime, no time-varying credibility
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[regime].weights
altpols = get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)
inds = 1:n_states(m)
TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys = gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, altpols; TTT = TTT[inds, inds],
regimes = Int[regime])
# Augment states
TTT, RRR, CCC = augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys; regime_switching = true,
reg = regime)
end
return TTT, RRR, CCC
end
function solve_non_gensys2_regimes!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ1s::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}},
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}};
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1], uncertain_altpolicy::Bool = false,
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {S <: Real}
# TODO: the commented step below should be unnecessary?
# uncertain_altpol = haskey(get_settings(m), :uncertain_altpolicy) && get_setting(m, :uncertain_altpolicy)
uncertain_altpol = uncertain_altpolicy
has_perf_cred_same_reg = haskey(get_settings(m), :perfect_credibility_identical_transitions)
if has_perf_cred_same_reg
perf_cred_same_reg = get_setting(m, :perfect_credibility_identical_transitions)
end
if uncertain_altpol
altpols = get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)
end
for reg in regimes
# Check if, in the case of perfect credibility, whether or not the current regime's gensys solution
# is identical to another regime's that has already been computed
if !uncertain_altpol && has_perf_cred_same_reg && haskey(perf_cred_same_reg, reg) && perf_cred_same_reg[reg] != reg
TTTs[reg] = TTTs[perf_cred_same_reg[reg]]
RRRs[reg] = RRRs[perf_cred_same_reg[reg]]
CCCs[reg] = CCCs[perf_cred_same_reg[reg]]
continue # if so, skip the remainder of this loop
end
TTT_gensys, CCC_gensys, RRR_gensys, eu =
gensys(Γ0s[reg], Γ1s[reg], Cs[reg], Ψs[reg], Πs[reg],
1+1e-6, verbose = verbose)
# Check for LAPACK exception, existence and uniqueness
if eu[1] != 1 || eu[2] != 1
throw(GensysError("Error in Gensys, Regime $reg"))
end
if uncertain_altpolicy && haskey(get_settings(m), :regime_eqcond_info) && haskey(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info), reg)
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights
if !isempty(weights)
# Time-varying credibility weights for the regime reg
altpols = get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)
TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys =
gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, altpols; TTT = TTT_gensys,
regime_switching = true, regimes = Int[reg])
end
end
TTT_gensys = real(TTT_gensys)
RRR_gensys = real(RRR_gensys)
CCC_gensys = real(CCC_gensys)
# Populate the TTTs, etc., for regime `reg`
TTTs[reg], RRRs[reg], CCCs[reg] =
augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys, reg = reg)
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end
function solve_gensys2!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ1s::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}},
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}};
gensys2_regimes::Vector{Int} = Vector{Int}(undef, 0),
uncertain_altpolicy::Bool = false, uncertain_temporary_altpolicy::Bool = false,
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {S <: Real}
# Solve for the final regime of the alternative rule
altpolicy_solve = alternative_policy(m).solve
TTT_final, RRR_final, CCC_final = altpolicy_solve(m; regime_switching = true,
regimes = Int[last(gensys2_regimes)])
n_endo = length(m.endogenous_states)
TTT_final = TTT_final[1:n_endo, 1:n_endo] # make sure the non-augmented version
RRR_final = RRR_final[1:n_endo, :] # is returned
CCC_final = CCC_final[1:n_endo]
TTT_final = real(TTT_final)
RRR_final = real(RRR_final)
CCC_final = real(CCC_final)
# if we're using an uncertain alternative policy, we have to compute the
# weighted final transition matrix
if uncertain_altpolicy
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[last(gensys2_regimes)].weights
altpols = get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)
TTT_final_weighted, RRR_final_weighted, CCC_final_weighted =
gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, altpols; TTT = TTT_final,
regimes = Int[last(gensys2_regimes)])
TTT_final_weighted = real(TTT_final_weighted) # need to define this as different
RRR_final_weighted = real(RRR_final_weighted) # from TTT_final, which is intended to
CCC_final_weighted = real(CCC_final_weighted) # be the perfect credibility version
end
# Populate TTTs, RRRs, CCCs matrices
if uncertain_temporary_altpolicy
# Setup
ffreg = first(gensys2_regimes) + 1
altpols = get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)
weights = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(gensys2_regimes) - 1)
for (i, reg) in enumerate(gensys2_regimes[2]:gensys2_regimes[end])
weights[i] = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights
end
if length(altpols) == 1
if altpols[1].solve == solve && haskey(get_settings(m), :uncertain_altpolicy) && get_setting(m, :uncertain_altpolicy)
revert_unc_altpol = true # Need to make sure uncertain_altpolicy is off if we're using the default solve function
m <= Setting(:uncertain_altpolicy, false) # since this altpols[1].solve should solve for a perfectly credible policy
else
revert_unc_altpol = false
end
Talt, _, Calt = altpols[1].solve(m)
Talt = Talt[1:n_endo,1:n_endo]
Calt = Calt[1:n_endo]
if revert_unc_altpol
m <= Setting(:uncertain_altpolicy, true)
end
else
@assert isa.(altpols, AltPolicy) "All policies in `get_setting(m, :alternative_policies)` should have type AltPolicy."
Talt = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(altpols)) # can call a faster version
Calt = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(altpols))
if altpols[1].solve == solve && haskey(get_settings(m), :uncertain_altpolicy) && get_setting(m, :uncertain_altpolicy)
revert_unc_altpol = true # Need to make sure uncertain_altpolicy is off if we're using the default solve function
m <= Setting(:uncertain_altpolicy, false) # since this altpols[1].solve should solve for a perfectly credible policy
else
revert_unc_altpol = false
end
for i in 1:length(altpols)
Talt[i], _, Calt[i] = altpols[i].solve(m)
Talt[i] = Talt[i][1:n_endo,1:n_endo]
Calt[i] = Calt[i][1:n_endo]
end
if revert_unc_altpol
m <= Setting(:uncertain_altpolicy, true)
end
end
# Calculate gensys2 matrices under belief that the desired lift-off policy will occur
# TODO: generalize to having multiple distinct sets of regimes which are gensys2 regimes
Tcal, Rcal, Ccal = gensys2(m, Γ0s[gensys2_regimes], Γ1s[gensys2_regimes],
Cs[gensys2_regimes], Ψs[gensys2_regimes], Πs[gensys2_regimes],
TTT_final, RRR_final, CCC_final,
length(gensys2_regimes) - 1)
Tcal[end] = TTT_final
Rcal[end] = RRR_final
Ccal[end] = CCC_final
# Now calculate transition matrices under an uncertain ZLB
# Γ0_til, etc., are eqcond matrices implementing ZLB, i.e. zero_rate_rule
# It is assumed that there is no time variation in the equilibrium conditions
# for the ZLB, so we can just use ffreg to identify the correct set of
# equilibrium conditions.
Γ0_til, Γ1_til, Γ2_til, C_til, Ψ_til =
gensys_to_predictable_form(Γ0s[ffreg], Γ1s[ffreg], Cs[ffreg], Ψs[ffreg], Πs[ffreg];
use_sparse = (haskey(get_settings(m), :gensys2_sparse_matrices) &&
get_setting(m, :gensys2_sparse_matrices)))
ng2 = length(Tcal) - 1 # number of gensys2 regimes
nzlb = haskey(get_settings(m), :temporary_altpolicy_length) ? get_setting(m, :temporary_altpolicy_length) : ng2
# Use Tcal, Rcal, & Ccal from 2 as inputs b/c use t + 1 matrix, not t
# Then, if nzlb = 1, Tcal should have length 2, and you only need the lift-off matrix
Tcal[1:(1 + nzlb)], Rcal[1:(1 + nzlb)], Ccal[1:(1 + nzlb)] =
gensys2_uncertain_altpol(weights, Talt, Calt,
Tcal[2:(1 + nzlb)], Rcal[2:(1 + nzlb)], Ccal[2:(1 + nzlb)],
Γ0_til, Γ1_til, Γ2_til, C_til, Ψ_til)
if uncertain_altpolicy
Tcal[end] = TTT_final_weighted
Rcal[end] = RRR_final_weighted
Ccal[end] = CCC_final_weighted
else
Tcal[end] = TTT_final
Rcal[end] = RRR_final
Ccal[end] = CCC_final
end
else
Tcal, Rcal, Ccal = gensys2(m, Γ0s[gensys2_regimes], Γ1s[gensys2_regimes],
Cs[gensys2_regimes], Ψs[gensys2_regimes], Πs[gensys2_regimes],
TTT_final, RRR_final, CCC_final,
length(gensys2_regimes) - 1)
if uncertain_altpolicy
Tcal[end] = TTT_final_weighted
Rcal[end] = RRR_final_weighted
Ccal[end] = CCC_final_weighted
else
Tcal[end] = TTT_final
Rcal[end] = RRR_final
Ccal[end] = CCC_final
end
end
# only need to populate regimes during which a temporary altpolicy holds
populate_reg = gensys2_regimes[2:end]
for (i, reg) in enumerate(populate_reg)
TTTs[reg], RRRs[reg], CCCs[reg] = augment_states(m, Tcal[i], Rcal[i], Ccal[i], reg = reg)
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end
"""
```
solve_uncertain_altpolicy(m::AbstractDSGEModel{T},
system_perfect_cred_totpolicies::Vector{Union{System, RegimeSwitchingSystem}},
is_altpol::Vector{Bool};
gensys_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = UnitRange{Int64}[1:1],
gensys2_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = Vector{UnitRange{Int}}(undef, 0),
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1], verbose::Symbol = :high) where {T <: Real}
```
computes the regime-switching state space transition matrices when agents have imperfect awareness
about the policy being implemented and some of these policies may be temporary policies
(and thus would be specified as a `MultiPeriodAltPolicy`).
"""
function solve_uncertain_altpolicy(m::AbstractDSGEModel{T},
system_perfect_cred_totpolicies::Vector{Union{System, RegimeSwitchingSystem}},
is_altpol::Vector{Bool};
gensys_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = UnitRange{Int64}[1:1],
gensys2_regimes::Vector{UnitRange{Int64}} = Vector{UnitRange{Int}}(undef, 0),
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1], verbose::Symbol = :high) where {T <: Real}
Γ0s = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Γ1s = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Cs = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Ψs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
Πs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
@assert haskey(get_settings(m), :regime_eqcond_info) "The setting :regime_eqcond_info must exist"
has_eqcond_reg_map = haskey(get_settings(m), :identical_eqcond_regimes)
for reg in regimes
if has_eqcond_reg_map && haskey(get_setting(m, :identical_eqcond_regimes), reg)
reg_to_copy = get_setting(m, :identical_eqcond_regimes)[reg]
Γ0s[reg] = copy(Γ0s[reg_to_copy])
Γ1s[reg] = copy(Γ1s[reg_to_copy])
Cs[reg] = copy( Cs[reg_to_copy])
Ψs[reg] = copy( Ψs[reg_to_copy])
Πs[reg] = copy( Πs[reg_to_copy])
else
Γ0s[reg], Γ1s[reg], Cs[reg], Ψs[reg], Πs[reg] = haskey(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info), reg) ?
get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].alternative_policy.eqcond(m, reg) : eqcond(m, reg)
end
end
TTTs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
RRRs = Vector{Matrix{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
CCCs = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(regimes))
for reg_range in gensys_regimes
solve_non_gensys2_regimes!(m, Γ0s, Γ1s, Cs, Ψs, Πs, TTTs, RRRs, CCCs,
system_perfect_cred_totpolicies, is_altpol;
regimes = collect(reg_range),
verbose = verbose)
end
for reg_range in gensys2_regimes
solve_gensys2!(m, Γ0s, Γ1s, Cs, Ψs, Πs,
TTTs, RRRs, CCCs, system_perfect_cred_totpolicies, is_altpol;
gensys2_regimes = collect(reg_range),
verbose = verbose)
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end
function solve_non_gensys2_regimes!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ1s::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}},
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}},
system_perfect_cred_totpolicies::Vector{Union{System, RegimeSwitchingSystem}},
is_altpol::Vector{Bool}; regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1],
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {S <: Real}
for reg in regimes
if haskey(get_settings(m), :regime_eqcond_info) && haskey(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info), reg) &&
!isempty(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights)
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights
# Time-varying credibility weights for the regime reg
TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys =
gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, reg, system_perfect_cred_totpolicies, is_altpol)
else
TTT_gensys, CCC_gensys, RRR_gensys, eu =
gensys(Γ0s[reg], Γ1s[reg], Cs[reg], Ψs[reg], Πs[reg],
1+1e-6, verbose = verbose)
# Check for LAPACK exception, existence and uniqueness
if eu[1] != 1 || eu[2] != 1
throw(GensysError("Error in Gensys, Regime $reg"))
end
end
TTT_gensys = real(TTT_gensys)
RRR_gensys = real(RRR_gensys)
CCC_gensys = real(CCC_gensys)
# Populate the TTTs, etc., for regime `reg`
TTTs[reg], RRRs[reg], CCCs[reg] =
augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys, reg = reg)
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end
function solve_gensys2!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ1s::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}},
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}},
system_perfect_cred_totpolicies::Vector{Union{System, RegimeSwitchingSystem}},
is_altpol::Vector{Bool};
gensys2_regimes::Vector{Int} = Vector{Int}(undef, 0),
verbose::Symbol = :high) where {S <: Real}
# Solve for the final regime of the alternative rule
TTT_final = system_perfect_cred_totpolicies[1][gensys2_regimes[end], :TTT] # policy 1 is the perfectly credible version of the implemented policy
RRR_final = system_perfect_cred_totpolicies[1][gensys2_regimes[end], :RRR]
CCC_final = system_perfect_cred_totpolicies[1][gensys2_regimes[end], :CCC]
# if we're using an uncertain alternative policy, we have to compute the
# weighted final transition matrix
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[last(gensys2_regimes)].weights
TTT_final_weighted, RRR_final_weighted, CCC_final_weighted =
gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, last(gensys2_regimes), system_perfect_cred_totpolicies, is_altpol)
TTT_final_weighted = real(TTT_final_weighted) # need to define this as different
RRR_final_weighted = real(RRR_final_weighted) # from TTT_final, which is intended to
CCC_final_weighted = real(CCC_final_weighted) # be the perfect credibility version
# Now calculate transition matrices under an uncertain ZLB
# Γ0_til, etc., are eqcond matrices implementing ZLB, i.e. zero_rate_rule
# It is assumed that there is no time variation in the equilibrium conditions
# for the ZLB, so we can just use ffreg to identify the correct set of
# equilibrium conditions.
ffreg = first(gensys2_regimes) + 1
Γ0_til, Γ1_til, Γ2_til, C_til, Ψ_til =
gensys_to_predictable_form(Γ0s[ffreg], Γ1s[ffreg], Cs[ffreg], Ψs[ffreg], Πs[ffreg];
use_sparse = (haskey(get_settings(m), :gensys2_sparse_matrices) &&
get_setting(m, :gensys2_sparse_matrices)))
# Use Tcal, Rcal, & Ccal from 2 as inputs b/c use t + 1 matrix, not t
# Then, if nzlb = 1, Tcal should have length 2, and you only need the lift-off matrix
weights = Vector{Vector{Float64}}(undef, length(gensys2_regimes) - 1) # prep time varying weights
for (i, reg) in enumerate(gensys2_regimes[2]:gensys2_regimes[end])
weights[i] = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights
end
Tcal, Rcal, Ccal =
gensys2_uncertain_altpol(weights, gensys2_regimes, 1:n_states(m), system_perfect_cred_totpolicies, is_altpol,
Γ0_til, Γ1_til, Γ2_til, C_til, Ψ_til)
ng2 = length(Tcal) - 1 # number of gensys2 regimes
nzlb = haskey(get_settings(m), :temporary_altpolicy_length) ? get_setting(m, :temporary_altpolicy_length) : ng2
@assert nzlb == ng2 "The setting :temporary_altpolicy_length does not match the number of gensys2 regimes."
Tcal[end] = TTT_final_weighted
Rcal[end] = RRR_final_weighted
Ccal[end] = CCC_final_weighted
# only need to populate regimes during which a temporary altpolicy holds
populate_reg = gensys2_regimes[2:end]
for (i, reg) in enumerate(populate_reg)
TTTs[reg], RRRs[reg], CCCs[reg] = augment_states(m, Tcal[i], Rcal[i], Ccal[i], reg = reg)
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end
function solve_non_gensys2_regimes!(m::AbstractDSGEModel, Γ0s::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Γ1s::Vector{Matrix{S}},
Cs::Vector{Vector{S}}, Ψs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, Πs::Vector{Matrix{S}},
TTTs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, RRRs::Vector{Matrix{S}}, CCCs::Vector{Vector{S}},
system_perfect_cred_totpolicies::Vector{Union{System, RegimeSwitchingSystem}};
regimes::Vector{Int} = Int[1], verbose::Symbol = :high) where {S <: Real}
for reg in regimes
if haskey(get_settings(m), :regime_eqcond_info) && haskey(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info), reg) &&
!isempty(get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights)
weights = get_setting(m, :regime_eqcond_info)[reg].weights
# Time-varying credibility weights for the regime reg
TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys =
gensys_uncertain_altpol(m, weights, reg, system_perfect_cred_totpolicies, trues(length(weights) - 1))
else
TTT_gensys, CCC_gensys, RRR_gensys, eu =
gensys(Γ0s[reg], Γ1s[reg], Cs[reg], Ψs[reg], Πs[reg],
1+1e-6, verbose = verbose)
# Check for LAPACK exception, existence and uniqueness
if eu[1] != 1 || eu[2] != 1
throw(GensysError("Error in Gensys, Regime $reg"))
end
end
TTT_gensys = real(TTT_gensys)
RRR_gensys = real(RRR_gensys)
CCC_gensys = real(CCC_gensys)
# Populate the TTTs, etc., for regime `reg`
TTTs[reg], RRRs[reg], CCCs[reg] =
augment_states(m, TTT_gensys, RRR_gensys, CCC_gensys, reg = reg)
end
return TTTs, RRRs, CCCs
end