This Project shows Analysis on the World Population and Predicts the Population up to Year 2050/2060
- Holtwinters Exponential Smoothing
- AR Model
- ARIMA Model
- FBProphet
The Box Jenkins ACF and PACF Methodology were used to determine which model to use for Year Change and Crude Birth Rate:
- Mean Absolute Percentage Error
- Root Mean Square Error
| World Population | Yearly Change % | CBR | CDR | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-12-31 | 7874327165.72524 | 1.01 | 19.04 | 7.26 |
| 2022-12-31 | 7953723319.539936 | 0.99 | 19.05 | 7.2 |
| 2023-12-31 | 8029599836.236934 | 0.97 | 19.06 | 7.13 |
| 2024-12-31 | 8100530916.376307 | 0.95 | 19.08 | 7.07 |
| 2025-12-31 | 8171461996.515679 | 0.94 | 19.1 | 7.0 |
| 2026-12-31 | 8242393076.655052 | 0.92 | 19.13 | 6.94 |
| 2027-12-31 | 8313324156.794425 | 0.9 | 19.15 | 6.87 |
| 2028-12-31 | 8385619296.167248 | 0.88 | 19.18 | 6.8 |
| 2029-12-31 | 8456550376.306621 | 0.86 | 19.21 | 6.74 |
| 2030-12-31 | 8527481456.445993 | 0.84 | 19.25 | 6.67 |
| 2031-12-31 | 8598412536.585365 | 0.83 | 19.28 | 6.61 |
| 2032-12-31 | 8669343616.72474 | 0.81 | 19.31 | 6.54 |
| 2033-12-31 | 8740274696.86411 | 0.79 | 19.35 | 6.48 |
| 2034-12-31 | 8807220153.354633 | 0.77 | 19.39 | 6.41 |
| 2035-12-31 | 8869177571.884983 | 0.75 | 19.42 | 6.34 |
| ... |
Contributions, issues and feature requests are welcome.
This project is GNU licensed.