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Uncertainty Quantification via Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Model for Zero-inflated and Long-tail Travel Demand Prediction

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This is a Pytorch implementation of the following paper:

Papers

[🧩] Spatiotemporal Graph Neural Networks with Uncertainty Quantification for Traffic Incident Risk Prediction

The Code

Requirements

Following is the suggested way to install the dependencies:

conda install --file STTD.yml

Note that pytorch >=1.10.

Folder Structure

└── code-and-data
    ├── cta_data_only10                 # CDPSAMP10 Dataset as an example
    ├── ny_data_only10                  # SLDSAMP10 Dataset as an example
    ├── ny_data_full_5min               # SLD_5min Dataset as an example
    ├── ny_data_full_15min              # SLD_15min Dataset as an example
    ├── ny_data_full_60min              # SLD_60min Dataset as an example
    ├── main_gau.py                     # STG Model
    ├── main_stnb.py                    # STNB Model
    ├── main_trunnorm.py                # STN Model
    ├── main_zero_NB.py                 # STZINB Model
    ├── main_tweedie.py                 # Tweedie Model (STTD, STP, STGM, STIG)
    ├── main_zitd.py                    # ZI-Tweedie Model
    ├── model.py                        # The core source code of our model
    ├── utils.py                        # Defination of auxiliary functions for running
    ├── STTD.yml                        # The python environment needed for STTD
    ├── pth                             # Best model save path
    └── README.md                       # This document

Datasets

Download datasets from ZhuangDingyi/STZINB: Source code of implementing spatial-temporal zero-inflated negative binomial network for trip demand prediction (github.com)

For London traffic risk dataset, please contact us for more details.

Configuration

Important parameters in the configuration are as follows :

nhid = 42                               # The hidden unit
weight_dacay = 1e-4                     # Weight decay
learning_rate = 1e-3                    # Learning rate
drop_out = 0.2                          # Dropout rate					 

Train and Test

Run python main_{method}.py to train and evaluate the model and generate model prediction .Remember to replace the corresponding data files and output files.

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Uncertainty Quantification via Spatial-Temporal Tweedie Model for Zero-inflated and Long-tail Travel Demand Prediction

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