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How Close Is Close?

Data

Data come from the MIT Election Lab. You can find the raw data on Dataverse.

The script R/clean-data.R wrangles the raw data into data/votes-margin.rds and `data/votes-margin.rds, which are just different file types for the clean data.

Plot

Here’s the plot made by R/make-plot.R.

Table

The table below shows the 10 closest contests.

library(tidyverse)
library(kableExtra)
read_rds("data/votes-margin.rds") %>%
  top_n(-10, votes_margin) %>%
  arrange(votes_margin) %>%
  select(State = state,
         Year = year, 
         `Margin of Victory in Votes` = votes_margin) %>%
  kable(format = "markdown")
State Year Margin of Victory in Votes
New Mexico 2000 366
Florida 2000 537
Oregon 1976 1713
New Hampshire 2016 2736
Minnesota 1984 3761
Massachusetts 1980 3829
Missouri 2008 3903
Maine 1976 4041
Iowa 2000 4144
South Dakota 1976 4437

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