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3 changes: 2 additions & 1 deletion paper_slides/input/test_stateFE.tex
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Expand Up @@ -26,7 +26,8 @@
The third column shows the value of the difference of the relevant coefficients,
and the fourth column shows the standard error of the difference.
The fifth and sixth columns show the implied $t$- and $p$-values.
All regressions include economic controls from the QCEW.
We constructed these tests by estimating both regression equations jointly,
including economic controls from the QCEW as in the paper.
Standard errors in parentheses are clustered at the state level.
\end{minipage}
\end{table}
161 changes: 92 additions & 69 deletions paper_slides/reply/cover.lyx
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Expand Up @@ -234,12 +234,12 @@ Our main results are obtained using a monthly panel dataset.
The editor questioned the plausibility of these dynamics.
The argument is that the effect should be sluggish as existing rental contracts
are re-negotiated over time.
Referee 3 (R3) suggests that we these patterns arise because our measure
of rents reflects posted prices in newly-available rental units, rather
than rates of existing contracts.
Referee 3 (R3) suggests that these patterns arise because our measure of
rents reflects posted prices in newly-available rental units, rather than
rates of existing contracts.
We agree.
Furthermore, we see this as a feature of our rents measure, as rents of
new contracts are more reflective of market conditions (Ambrose et al.
Furthermore, we see this as a feature of our rents measure, since rents
of new contracts are more reflective of market conditions (Ambrose et al.
\begin_inset ERT
status open

Expand All @@ -253,7 +253,6 @@ status open
\end_inset

2015).

\begin_inset Foot
status open

Expand All @@ -280,7 +279,16 @@ literal "false"
\end_inset

to see our question.
(SH: Is this useful?)
\begin_inset Note Note
status open

\begin_layout Plain Layout
SH: Is this useful?
\end_layout

\end_inset


\end_layout

\end_inset
Expand All @@ -290,11 +298,11 @@ literal "false"
\end_layout

\begin_layout Itemize
When using a yearly model and our baseline sample of ZIP codes we find no
significant results (Online Appendix Table 3, Panel C), which the AER editor
and R1 found troublesome.
This model is simply an averaged version of the monthly model, so it tries
to get at the same coefficients.
When using a yearly model and our baseline sample of ZIP codes we find similar
patterns in point estimates but no statistical significance (Online Appendix
Table 3, Panel C), which the AER editor and R1 found troublesome.
The yearly model is simply an averaged version of the monthly model, so
it tries to get at the same coefficients.
\begin_inset Foot
status open

Expand Down Expand Up @@ -336,15 +344,14 @@ Omitting the controls for simplicity, the monthly model can be written as

\end_inset

We think that the reason for this is lack of power.
However, statistical power is much different across these models.
In fact, comparing rows (iii) across Panels A and C of Online Appendix
Table 3, we find that standard errors are between 3.8 and 4.6 times in the
yearly model (note that the clustering scheme is constant).
As a result, we find that this model does not reject our baseline estimates.
Table 3 for our rents outcome, we find that state-clustered standard errors
are between 3.8 and 4.6 times larger in the yearly model.
As a result, the yearly model does not reject our baseline estimates.
There are two reasons for this.
First, the number of observations: the yearly model is estimated on 1/12th
the number of observations.
Second, as we mention in the paper, the smoothing of identifying variation
First, the yearly model is estimated on 1/12th the number of observations.
Second, as we mention in the paper, the yearly averages smooth useful variation
when we average MW changes that happened in the middle of the year (most
commonly, July).
We included these estimates to illustrate the importance of using monthly
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -442,9 +449,9 @@ not
level is not available.
In the paper we cite related literature that explores this channel (e.g.,
Leung 2021).
We included this variable is to account for spatial heterogeneity which
both our model and the empirical results suggest is important, especially
in the heterogeneity analyses in Table 5.
We included this variable to account for spatial heterogeneity which both
our model and the empirical results suggest is important, especially in
the heterogeneity analyses in Table 5.
We will revise the paper to note that due to data constraints we cannot
test this channel directly and that more work is needed to conclusively
establish that the negative coefficient arises from changes in local prices.
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -675,42 +682,52 @@ median
We will add this discussion to the paper and include a new robustness analysis
that uses a newly available variable in Zillow that directly attempts to
control for selection of listings.
We provide more details on this new variable below.
We provide more details on this new variable below, where we discuss alternativ
e sources of data more generally.
\end_layout

\end_deeper
\begin_layout Enumerate
We also received comments regarding our estimates of the effect of the MW
on income.
These estimates are discussed in Appendix D and displayed in Online Appendix
Table 7, and show that a 10% increase in the workplace MW leads to a roughly
These estimates, discussed in Appendix D and displayed in Online Appendix
Table 7, show that a 10% increase in the workplace MW leads to a roughly
1% increase in wage income in a ZIP code.
Before going over the comments, we note that the goal of the paper is
\emph on
not
\emph default
to estimate the effect of the MW on wage income, but rather to set a sensible
value for the parameter
to estimate the elasticity of wage income to the MW (
\begin_inset Formula $\varepsilon$
\end_inset

), but rather to select a sensible value for
\begin_inset Formula $\varepsilon$
\end_inset

in Section 6.
Nonetheless, we understand that an inacurrate value for
This is the reason our analysis in Appendix D is brief.
Nonetheless, we understand that an inacurrate choice for
\begin_inset Formula $\varepsilon$
\end_inset

would lead to incorrect conclusions in the counterfactual exercises.
We will address these comments expanding Section 6 by adding a figure that
shows how the conclusions of the counterfactuals change with different
values of
We will expand Section 6 by adding a figure that shows how the conclusions
of the counterfactuals change with different values of the elasticity
\begin_inset Formula $\varepsilon$
\end_inset

.
As for Appendix D, we can justify our parameter value for the elasticity
of income to the MW from the literature, so we are willing to drop it entirely.
If you believe that providing valid estimates of this parameter is an important
contribution, we could either maintain Appendix D with minor additions
As for Appendix D, we will justify our choice of
\begin_inset Formula $\varepsilon$
\end_inset

from the literature, so we are willing to drop it entirely.
If you believe that providing valid estimates of
\begin_inset Formula $\varepsilon$
\end_inset

is an important contribution, we could either maintain it with minor additions
or deep dive in the analysis and move it into the main paper.
\end_layout

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\end_inset

(2019) find spillovers up to $3 above the new MW.
(2019) find spillovers up to $3 above the new MW, and estimate that they
account for 40% of the wage effect of the MW.
Aaronson and French (2007, Table 1) estimates that the share of the wage
bill affected by the MW in the restaurant industry is 0.17 (the share of
MW workers in the industry is 0.33).
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -911,7 +929,7 @@ status open

\begin_layout Plain Layout
We emphasize that, as long as workers can in principle move, prices will
respond even if they decide to stay in the same location.
respond even if they decide to stay in the same housing unit.
\end_layout

\end_inset
Expand All @@ -920,7 +938,7 @@ We emphasize that, as long as workers can in principle move, prices will
outside their own ZIP code as a response to the MW.
In that case we would end up with an extra term for the changes in commuting
shares in Proposition 2.
This term would go to the residual in our main models.
This term would go to the residual in our empirical estimates.
We observe changes in commuting shares annually, and use time-varying commuting
shares to construct our workplace MW measure in Panel B of Table 3, finding
similar results.
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -973,12 +991,13 @@ shopping MW
\begin_layout Standard
We now discuss alternative sources of data.
As we discuss in the introduction of the paper, a key challenge to study
the effect of the minimum wage on rents is the existence high quality data.
the effect of the minimum wage on rents within-cities is the existence
of high quality data.
With its limitations, we see our estimates using Zillow data as quantiatively
reasonable and providing a novel contribution to the literature.
However, we acknoweledge that using alternative sources would further increase
confidence in our results.
Thus, we plan to explore new data sources that have became available since
However, we acknoweledge that using alternative data sources would further
increase confidence in our results.
Thus, we plan to explore two data sources that have became available since
the first version of our paper.

\end_layout
Expand All @@ -988,7 +1007,7 @@ We now discuss alternative sources of data.
We will add estimates using Zillow's new monthly rental housing index (ZORI).
This index, based on methodology by Ambrose et al.
(2015), directly attempts to control for changes in the composition of
posted rents on the platform by measuring the change in rents for the same
posted rents on the platform by estimating change in rents for the same
rental unit over time.
\begin_inset Note Note
status open
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1018,18 +1037,18 @@ literal "false"
We will pull ZIP code-level monthly data on rents from a newly available
API by Realty Mole.
These data provide the average rent and also incorporates the number of
units with a different number of bedrooms that make up the average, potentially
allowing us to study for changes in composition of rentals.
units with a different number of bedrooms that make up that average, potentiall
y allowing us to study changes in the composition of rentals.
The downside of these data is that it starts in mid 2020.
If we find these data to be of good quality we might introduce new robustness
analysis in the paper.
\begin_inset Note Note
status open

\begin_layout Plain Layout
SH: We could also mention the county-level data from the FMR to have a more
robust statistic of the yearly distribution of rents, addressing AER editor
comment.
SH: We could also mention the county-level data from FMR to have a more
robust statistic of the yearly distribution of rents, addressing one of
the comments by the AER editor.
\end_layout

\end_inset
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1115,7 +1134,7 @@ not occupied by poor workers,
This claim comes from Online Appendix Table 6, where we estimate our model
in different housing categories in the Zillow data.
We discuss those results in Section 5.4, where we warn against strong conclusion
s as these estimates are noisy.
s as these estimates are quite noisy.
We note that these rental categories are inhabited by low-income households
as well (Online Appendix Figure 3), though we acknowledge that the share
of low-wage households in some categories is relatively lower.
Expand Down Expand Up @@ -1167,6 +1186,30 @@ clearpage
\end_inset


\end_layout

\begin_layout Standard
\align center
\begin_inset CommandInset include
LatexCommand input
filename "../input/test_stateFE.tex"

\end_inset


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status open

\begin_layout Plain Layout


\backslash
vspace{3mm}
\end_layout

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\begin_layout Subsection*
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\end_inset


\begin_inset ERT
status open

\begin_layout Plain Layout


\backslash
vspace{3mm}
\end_layout

\end_inset


\begin_inset CommandInset include
LatexCommand input
filename "../input/test_stateFE.tex"

\end_inset


\end_layout

\end_body
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