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Ambystoma bishopi Survival Analysis

Supporting data and code for: Brooks G. C., T. A. Gorman, and C. A. Haas. 2024. Variation in Flatwoods Salamander Survival Is Unrelated to Temperature and Rainfall. Ichthyology and Herpetology.

Using ten years of mark-recapture data from two adjacent wetlands on the Florida Panhandle, we investigated individual and temporal variability in survival rates of Reticulated Flatwoods Salamanders (Ambystoma bishopi). Our objectives were to 1) provide the first estimates of survival for the species, 2) evaluate the relationship between body size and mortality risk, 3) quantify the degree of variability in survival rates across the study period, and 4) discern whether variability in survival or detection correlates with environmental conditions. To address these objectives, we constructed a modified Cormack-Jolly-Seber model that includes body size and year as covariates. Mean annual survival was estimated to be 0.72 and was strongly correlated with body size; survival rates of the smallest individuals in the study were 0.5 and those of the largest individuals were 0.85. Survival also varied considerably across years, but did not correlate with temperature extremes or rainfall.

Contents

Data

summer_temp.csv - mean summer temperatures across the study period
winter_temp.csv - mean winter temperatures across the study period
summer_ppt.csv - mean summer rainfall across the study period
winter_ppt.csv - mean winter rainfall across the study period
fw_dat.csv - Flatwoods salamander capture history dataset

Code

surv_23_model.R - JAGS parameterization of the Cormack-Joly-Seber model used to estimate survival
surv_23_run.R - code to format the raw capture data, run the CJS model, and derive relationships between environmntal covariates and vital rates.

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Chapter 3 - Survival Analysis

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