Predicting hospital bed shortage due to COVID-19

This project builds the COVID-19 Hospital app, which predicts the number of COVID-19 patients that will require hospital and ICU beds in the US.

How does the model work?

The app uses COVID-19 data from the Johns Hopkins CSSE repository to fit a SIR model. It also uses state-level demographic information and hospital capacity to predict the number of COVID-19 patients that will require hospital and ICU beds.

For details regarding the model, please read this blog on Medium.

Where are the data?

COVID-19 cases reported in the Johns Hopkins CSSE repository have been stored in the "data" directory as pickle files.

State-level demographic and population information have been scraped from various websites and stored in the "data" directory as well.

NOTE: The app uses the Johns Hopkins data that was available on March 26, 2020

Where can I see the code?

To play around with building the model and making predictions, please see the Google Colab notebook in "COVID19.ipynb".

To view the code for the COVID-19 Hospital web app, please see "app.py"