Adding "Most uncertain" sort for markets

[antimatter15]

When looking at different markets, it would be helpful to be able to sort by "most uncertain" as those are the markets where a user might be most able to contribute some marginal insight.

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[akrolsmir]

HI @antimatter15 ! Thanks for this suggesting this - finding markets where a user can contribute most makes a ton of sense.

We're actually pretty likely (80%+) to remove our "most and least likely" sorts from the UI, though, for a couple reason:

1. We're switching over to Algolia Search 🔍 Algolia search  #136 which makes supporting new sort options a fair bit trickier, technically
2. Every additional sort option adds extra UI complexity to the end user, so we should be a bit skeptical of having a bunch.

And if we don't have most/least likely, I think we wouldn't want "most uncertain" either. Would love to hear your/the rest of the community's thoughts though!

[akrolsmir]

In true Manifold fashion, a prediction market on which sort options we'll support: https://manifold.markets/Austin/which-market-sorting-options-will-m

[sipec]

This is interesting, but I'm not sure if closeness to 50% is actually what you're looking for. You might want to bet against 90% markets that are obviously overconfident because of higher returns, for instance.

What you really want is to look at markets with low volume I think? A fresh market at 90% is less "certain" on the actual probability compared too a mature market at 50% with a ton of liquidity.

[jahooma]

We've switched to algolia search, so this is change is no longer applicable