2022 Midterm Forecast

Landing page for the 2022 midterm forecast, updated intermittently. Running the script update_readme.R will update all the plots below to the current day.

Generic Ballot Average

To generate the current generic congressional ballot average, you can run the script generic_ballot_weighting.R. You can read about how this model was built and explore some of the results from training here.

Presidential Approval Average

To generate the plots below, you can run the script approval_trends_weighting.R. You can read about how this model was built and explore some of the results from training here.