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chess

Looking for your own rating time series? See the analysis directory.

This little repo comprises little more than one little script, but that's all it takes to use a new, free, general purpose prediction api to forecast bullet and blitz chess ratings for top players:

Player Home Blitz
Hikaru Nakamura Hikaru on change, daily
Daniel Naroditsky DanielNaroditsky on change, daily
Alireza Firouzja Firouzja2003 on change, daily

... and some not-so-top players. We're more than happy to include your rating(s) too. Make a pull request modifying config.py, or just leave an issue with your chess.come username. Then look in analysis some time later to see what is there.

The script set.py, run frequently, creates a stream like this one. That stream is monitored by lots of time series algorithms who fight for supremacy. The result is distributional predictions that get slowly better over time and incorporate more exogenous data. For instance the algorithms have access to all public data including all games played.

And since we're talking chess you can:

More soon at www.microprediction.com/blog about chess and the statistics of bullet opennings...