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Don't include -np.inf in calculating average ELBO #1880

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merged 2 commits into from
Mar 7, 2017

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pstjohn
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@pstjohn pstjohn commented Mar 7, 2017

This PR addresses a minor issue in which likelihoods which can return a 0 probability (-inf log-probability) often report a negative infinity average ELBO for the entire simulation.

For instance,

with pm.Model() as model:

    a = pm.Normal('a', mu=0, sd=1.)
    obs = pm.Uniform('obs', lower=a, upper=10, observed=0)
    trace = pm.sample(5000, random_seed=123, progressbar=True)

Here, I just report the mean after removing the -np.inf values so convergence can be monitored.



def infmean(input_array):
"""Return the median of the finite values of the array"""
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mean, not median.

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Good catch, my mistake.
(Meant to skip ci on the fix, sadly looks like I can't cancel it after the fact.)

@twiecki twiecki merged commit f2f82b5 into pymc-devs:master Mar 7, 2017
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twiecki commented Mar 7, 2017

Thanks @pstjohn!

davidbrochart pushed a commit to davidbrochart/pymc3 that referenced this pull request Mar 27, 2017
* Adds an infmean for advi reporting

* fixing typo
twiecki pushed a commit that referenced this pull request Mar 27, 2017
* Added live_traceplot function

* Cosmetic change

* Changed the API to pm.sample(..., live_plot=True)

* Don't include `-np.inf` in calculating average ELBO (#1880)

* Adds an infmean for advi reporting

* fixing typo

* Add tutorial to detect sampling problems (#1866)

* Expand sampler-stats.ipynb example

include model diagnose from case study example in Stan http://mc-stan.org/documentation/case-studies/divergences_and_bias.html

* Sampler Diagnose for NUTS

* descriptive annotation and axis labels

* Fix typos

* PEP8 styling

* minor updates

1, add example to examples.rst
2, original content in Markdown code block

* Make install scripts idempotent (#1879)

* DOC Change heading names.

* Add examples of censored data models (#1870)

* Raise TypeError on non-data values of observed (#1872)

* Raise TypeError on non-data values of observed

* Added check for observed TypeError

* Make exponential mode have the correct shape

* Fix support of LKJCorr

* Added tutorial notebook on updating priors

* Fixed y-axis bug in forestplot; added transform argument to summary

* Style cleanup

* Made small changes and executed the notebook

* Added probit and invprobit functions

* Added carriage return to end of file

* Fixed indentation

* Changed probit test to use assert_allclose

* Fix tests for LKJCorr

* Added warning for ignoring init arguments in sample

* Kill stray tab

* Improve performance of transformations

* DOC Add new features

* Bump version.

* Added docs and scripts to MANIFEST

* WIP: Implement opvi (#1694)

* migrate useful functions from previous PR

(cherry picked from commit 9f61ab4)

* opvi draft

(cherry picked from commit d0997ff)

* made some test work

(cherry picked from commit b1a87d5)

* refactored approximation to support aevb (without test)

* refactor opvi

delete unnecessary methods from operator, change method order

* change log_q_local computation

* add full rank approximation

* add more_params argument to ObjectiveFunction.updates (aevb case)

* refactor density computation in full rank approximation

* typo: cast dict values to list

* typo: cast dict values to list

* typo: undefined T in dist_math

* refactor gradient scaling as suggested in approximateinference.org/accepted/RoederEtAl2016.pdf

* implement Langevin-Stein (LS) operator

* fix docstring

* add blank line in docs

* refactor ObjectiveFunction

* add not working LS Op test

* experiments with not working LS Op

* change activations

* refactor networks

* add step_function

* remove Langevin Stein, done refactoring

* remove Langevin Stein, done refactoring

* change optimizers

* refactor init params

* implement tests

* implement Inference

* code style

* test fix

* add minibatch test (fails now)

* add more tests for minibatch training

* add logdet to FullRank approximation

* add conversion of arrays to floatX

* tiny changes

* change number of iterations

* fix test and pylint check

* memoize functions in Objective function

* Optimize code a lot

* a bit more efficient pickling

* add docs

* Add MeanField -> FullRank parameter transfer

* refactor MeanField and FullRank a bit

* fix FullRank bug with shapes in random

* refactor Model.flatten (CC @taku-y)

* add `approximate` to inference

* rename approximate->fit

* change abbreviations

* Fix bug with scaling input variable in aevb

* fix theano bottleneck in graph

* more efficient scaling for local vars

* fix typo in local Q

* add aevb test

* refactor memoize to work with my objects

* add tests for numpy view usage

* pickle-hash fix

* pickle-hash fix again

* add node sampling + make up some code

* add notebook with example

* sample_proba explained

* Revert "small fix for multivariate mixture models"

* Added message about init only working with auto-assigned step methods

* doc(DiagInferDiv): formatting fix in blog post quote. Closes #1895. (#1909)

* delete unnecessary text and add some benchmarks (#1901)

* Add LKJCholeskyCov

* Added newline to MANIFEST

* Replaced package list with find_packages in setup.py; removed examples/data/__init__.py

* Fix log jacobian in LKJCholeskyCov

* Updated version to rc2

* Fixed stray version string

* Fix indexing traces with steps greater one

* refactor variational module, add histogram approximation (#1904)

* refactor module, add histogram

* add more tests

* refactor some code concerning AEVB histogram

* fix test for histogram

* use mean as deterministic point in Histogram

* remove unused import

* change names of shortcuts

* add names to shared params

* add new line at the end of `approximations.py`

* Add documentation for LKJCholeskyCov

* SVGD problems (#1916)

* fix some svgd problems

* switch -> ifelse

* except in record

* Histogram docs (#1914)

* add docs

* delete redundant code

* add usage example

* remove unused import

* Add expand_packed_triangular

* improve aesthetics

* Bump theano to 0.9.0rc4 (#1921)

* Add tests for LKJCholeskyCov

* Histogram: use only free RVs from trace (#1926)

* use only free RVs from trace

* use memoize in Histogram.histogram_logp

* Change tests for histogram

* Bump theano to be at least 0.9.0

* small fix to prevent a TypeError with the ufunc true_divide

* Fix tests for py2

* Add floatX wrappers in test_advi

* Changed the API to pm.sample(..., live_plot=True)

* Better formatting
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2 participants