Skip to content

COVID-19 cases forecasts for the ECDC Forecast Hub

License

Unknown, MIT licenses found

Licenses found

Unknown
LICENSE
MIT
LICENSE.md
Notifications You must be signed in to change notification settings

seabbs/ecdc-weekly-growth-forecasts

Repository files navigation

COVID-19 cases forecasts for the ECDC Forecast Hub

A Bayesian autoregressive model using weekly incidence data designed to run as a Github action. Both cases and the growth rate are assumed to be AR(1) processes with the growth rate being differenced and scaled by a decay parameter. The model is implemented using the forecast.vocs R package.