Data sources
From the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA):
- 2014 EIA Annual Energy Outlook tight oil forecasts to 2040: csv file or xlsx file
- 2013 EIA Annual Energy Outlook tight oil forecasts to 2040: csv file or xlsx file
From the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA):
For the entire nation:
- "Crude Oil Production" (includes condensate, but not natural gas liquids), with stats by state 1981-2013 (except Alaska since 1973): http://www.eia.gov/dnav/pet/pet_crd_crpdn_adc_mbbl_a.htm
- Annual Energy Outlook 2014, both the numbers downloadable from their interactive table viewer, and numbers pulled from graphs in the report: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
- Annual Energy Outlooks from earlier years: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/archive.cfm
For tight oil:
- 2010-2013 annual data: Annual Energy Outlook 2014
- 2000-2013 monthly data: accidentally posted by EIA on Natural Gas Weekly (more details to come)
For onshore and offshore oil from the lower 48 states:
- 1970-1994 data: 1996 EIA Annual Energy Outlook: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/archive.cfm
- 1990-2013 data: 2014 EIA Annual Energy Outlook: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
U.S. Department of Interior, Bureau of Safety and Environmental Enforcement (BSEE) and Bureau of Ocean Energy Management (BOEM):
Offshore Gulf of Mexico oil production, separated by shallow water and deep water:
- 1947-2007 data: "Deepwater Gulf of Mexico 2009: Interim Report of 2008 Highlights": http://www.boem.gov/Gulf-of-Mexico-OCS-Region-Publications/#GULF%20OF%20MEXICO
- 1985-2012 data: BSEE page "Deepwater Production Summary by Year", accessed 2014-08-09: http://www.data.bsee.gov/homepg/data_center/production/production/summary.asp
- See also "Gulf of Mexico Oil and Gas Production Forecast: 2004–2013" and "Gulf of Mexico Oil and Gas Production Forecast: 2009–2018": http://www.boem.gov/Gulf-of-Mexico-OCS-Region-Publications/#GULF%20OF%20MEXICO
(Until data comes in for 2013 offshore Gulf of Mexico, I've assumed the same production rates as 2012.)
Miscellaneous sources:
- Alaska's early oil production from "SB 21 Changes to Alaska’s Oil and Gas Production Taxes," Dan Dickenson, 9th Annual Oil and Gas Congress (2013): http://www.dedcpa.com/pdfs/DED%20Sept%202013%20Canadian%20Institute%20Presentation%209%203%2013.pdf
From the U.S. Energy Information Administration (EIA):
- "Natural Gas Gross Withdrawals and Production": http://www.eia.gov/dnav/ng/ng_prod_sum_dcu_NUS_a.htm
- For shale gas by play since 2000, see Natural Gas Weekly: http://www.eia.gov/naturalgas/weekly/
- Annual Energy Outlook 2014, both the numbers downloadable from their interactive table viewer, and numbers pulled from graphs in the report: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/
- Annual Energy Outlooks from earlier years: http://www.eia.gov/forecasts/aeo/archive.cfm
To get the numbers off the graphs in a fairly precise way, there's a cool tool, WebPlotDigitizer: http://arohatgi.info/WebPlotDigitizer/
Sources other than EIA:
- Groppe, Long & Littell, in "2011 drilling outlook: 3 analysts, 3 takes," Drilling Contractor, Nov 8 2010; http://www.drillingcontractor.org/2011-drilling-outlook-3-analysts-3-takes-7390
- "An 'Unconventional' Future for Natural Gas in the United States," by William A. Ambrose, Eric C. Potter and Romulo Briceno, Geotimes, Feb 2008: http://www.geotimes.org/feb08/article.html?id=feature_gas.html
- the American Association of Petroleum Geologists page "Tight Gas Sands," using data from American Clean Skies Foundation, 2008: http://emd.aapg.org/technical_areas/tightGas.cfm
- "Tight sands gain as U.S. gas source," by Vello A. Kuuskraa, Tom E. Hoak and Jason A. Kuuskraa, Oil & Gas Journal, Mar 18, 1996: http://www.ogj.com/articles/print/volume-94/issue-12/in-this-issue/exploration/exploration-tight-sands-gain-as-us-gas-source.html
- "Fossil and Nuclear Fuels: the Supply Outlook," Energy Watch Group, Mar 2013: http://energywatchgroup.org/en/press-release-18-march-2013-fossil-nuclear-fuels-supply-outlook/
On 2013 data points: When I wrote my post "How the shale gas 'revolution' stacks up" in August 2014, EIA hadn't released data for 2013 production for three types of natural gas: coalbed methane, offshore gas and tight gas. So I guesstimated what the production of each would be, based on the trend of the past few years. Whatever didn't come from those sources, nor from shale gas nor Alaska, I assigned to "lower 48 states onshore conventional." This guesstimation doesn't affect the total amount of gas production shown in the graph; it only means that my graph might be slightly off on how it divided that gas among the different sources. Although the EIA's 2014 Annual Energy Outlook does show numbers for 2013 production from these three sources (coalbed, offshore, tight), their numbers for 2013 appear to be approximations that were made as the report was being written in 2013, before the actual production data had come in.