5.1.4

Release Notes

For: uc-cdis/covid19-tools

Notes since tag: 5.1.3

Notes to tag/commit: 5.1.4

Generated: 2022-03-21

Improvements

• Update the exception logic for pm.sample() in the prediction part.

• Use 3 initialization methods to run prediction model:

1. default initialization method which is jitter+adapt_diag. It uses test value plus a uniform jitter in [-1, 1] as starting point in each chain.
2. adapt_diag: Start with a identity mass matrix and then adapt a diagonal based on the variance of the tuning samples. All chains use the test value (usually the prior mean) as starting point.
3. advi+adapt_diag: Run ADVI and then adapt the resulting diagonal mass matrix based on the sample variance of the tuning samples.