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ARIMA

ARIMA is an acronym that stands for AutoRegressive Integrated Moving Average. It is a class of model that captures a suite of different standard temporal structures in time series data. This acronym is descriptive, capturing the key aspects of the model itself. Briefly, they are:

AR: Autoregression. A model that uses the dependent relationship between an observation and some number of lagged observations.
I: Integrated. The use of differencing of raw observations (e.g. subtracting an observation from an observation at the previous time step) in order to make the time series stationary.
MA: Moving Average. A model that uses the dependency between an observation and a residual error from a moving average model applied to lagged observations.

Each of these components are explicitly specified in the model as a parameter. A standard notation is used of ARIMA(p,d,q) where the parameters are substituted with integer values to quickly indicate the specific ARIMA model being used.

The parameters of the ARIMA model are defined as follows:

p: The number of lag observations included in the model, also called the lag order.
d: The number of times that the raw observations are differenced, also called the degree of differencing.
q: The size of the moving average window, also called the order of moving average

For Further Reading Regarding ARIMA Model-https://machinelearningmastery.com/arima-for-time-series-forecasting-with-python/

The dataset is available in the dataset folder.

Our goal is to predict the future car sales using the ARIMA model

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