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DMS2_batch_prefs MCMC does not converge on certain ENV sites #16

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jiroop opened this issue Nov 2, 2018 · 1 comment
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DMS2_batch_prefs MCMC does not converge on certain ENV sites #16

jiroop opened this issue Nov 2, 2018 · 1 comment

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@jiroop
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jiroop commented Nov 2, 2018

There is a readme file within the zipped folder that describes the issue in more detail and how to reproduce it, but this is the error I am getting when running DMS2_batch_prefs:

2018-11-02 13:35:54,248 - INFO - Getting results for site 206...
2018-11-02 13:35:54,248 - ERROR - Terminating dms2_prefs with ERROR
Traceback (most recent call last):
File "/home/jroop/.local/bin/dms2_prefs", line 304, in main
.format(r, logstring))
RuntimeError: Failed for site 206:
Beginning MCMC at Fri Nov 2 11:59:53 2018
After 4 MCMC chains each of 20000 steps, mean R = 1.2541643122083816 and mean Neff = 37.9
MCMC failed to converge. Doing retry 1 with 40000 iterations per chain.
After 4 MCMC chains each of 40000 steps, mean R = 1.539564031833223 and mean Neff = 23.35
MCMC failed to converge. Doing retry 2 with 80000 iterations per chain.
After 4 MCMC chains each of 80000 steps, mean R = 1.2654302097288201 and mean Neff = 33.2
MCMC failed to converge. Doing retry 3 with 160000 iterations per chain.
After 4 MCMC chains each of 160000 steps, mean R = 1.530588807580061 and mean Neff = 57.35
MCMC failed to converge. Doing retry 4 with 320000 iterations per chain.
After 4 MCMC chains each of 320000 steps, mean R = 1.2578045547551282 and mean Neff = 151.3
MCMC failed to converge. Doing retry 5 with 640000 iterations per chain.
After 4 MCMC chains each of 640000 steps, mean R = 1.5417707240750493 and mean Neff = 199.05
MCMC FAILED to converge after all attempts at Fri Nov 2 13:35:52 2018.
181101_MCMC_debug_short.tar.gz

@jbloom
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jbloom commented Nov 2, 2018

@jiroop: This issue should be posted with the dms_tools2 repo, not the phydms repo, since it affects the former.

I have closed issue, can you repost on dms_tools2.

@jbloom jbloom closed this as completed Nov 2, 2018
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