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能否模拟复工的感染模型 #48

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linsong888688 opened this issue Feb 8, 2020 · 1 comment
Open

能否模拟复工的感染模型 #48

linsong888688 opened this issue Feb 8, 2020 · 1 comment

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@linsong888688
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家庭非复工人员在家隔离,复工人员如果被感染,那就是以家庭为单位了。

@coolleafly
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作为模型化来讲,其实不必单独去考虑复工,复工在这个模型中的本质是增加了流动率,提高了人口密度。家庭感染也是类似,一个家庭多数人虽然隔离,但是有一个人在外面活动,你可以理解成这个家庭都在这个点上动就对了,差异只是一次要收入院的人数会多一些,占用的资源要多一些。

我是一名医务工作者,主要写python的,看到这个代码果断Follow和Fork然后入坑java了,如果这两天有精力,看能不能做些细化。。

P.S. 1月29日总结过一个预测模型,目前还行,但是感觉随着复工潮的到来,模型可能要破了。。借题主的地儿安利下预测模型: https://arxiv.org/abs/2002.00426

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