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pattern description question #38

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Lotti opened this issue Apr 8, 2020 · 3 comments
Closed

pattern description question #38

Lotti opened this issue Apr 8, 2020 · 3 comments

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@Lotti
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Lotti commented Apr 8, 2020

Hello! Me again :D

I was wondering what is meant with high, decreasing, high, decreasing, high

Actually i'm in this prediction (very reliable)

Screen Shot 2020-04-08 at 13 56 15

and I'm wondering if "high" means that the price will always grow or if it will stay in the "high price" area...

Let me be more clear with an example:

  • It is possible that the price will grow from friday to saturday until a max <=152
    or that
  • the price will remain between 93 and 152 fluctuating on friday and saturday?

An help box with the explaination of the pattern terms could be useful.

Thank you and great domain name :D

@theRTC204
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The description high, decreasing, high, decreasing, high indicates the pattern that the prices will follow as they adjust throughout the week.

I guess you could say given the information you have available today, both of your bullet points are true? However, as you provide more data, the accuracy of the prediction improves such that the potential values for the rest of the week could decrease.

The algorithm attempts to predict the theoretical maximum value for each given half-day, based on the values from the earlier periods in the week. But, there is still a significant element of random chance in each value. You could have a bad RNG roll which causes you to end up with values on the lower end of each spectrum, which means you could end up with something as low as 97 at the end of the week.

@theRTC204
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The pattern also suggests that you should end the week on an upward swing, but it does not mean that your end-of-week value will be higher than your start-of-week value. It just means that the end of the week will be higher than the periods immediately before it.

@Lotti
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Lotti commented Apr 11, 2020

Thank you for your reply. I have also verified what you said within this week prices

@Lotti Lotti closed this as completed Apr 11, 2020
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