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Ratio of tests to positive cases #45

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AJamesPhillips opened this issue May 10, 2020 · 2 comments
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Ratio of tests to positive cases #45

AJamesPhillips opened this issue May 10, 2020 · 2 comments
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dom:cases Related to COVID-19 cases (JHU) dom:testing Related to COVID-19 tests

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@AJamesPhillips
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AJamesPhillips commented May 10, 2020

As per this graph, the United Kingdom's ratio is shown as 5.7 as of May 7th
Screen Shot of our world in data graph of ratio of tests to positive cases showing UK trending up but still only at about 5.7

However the data source (UK Department of Health and Social Care and Public Health England) shows the ratio at ~12. With a 14 day moving average it's still about 10.
Screen Shot of spreadsheet showing uk cases and tests per day and cumulative, their ratio and the 14 day average of that ratio
Link to spreadsheet.

I was wondering where the value of 5.7 comes from? Thank you.

@edomt edomt self-assigned this May 10, 2020
@edomt edomt added dom:cases Related to COVID-19 cases (JHU) dom:testing Related to COVID-19 tests labels May 10, 2020
@edomt
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edomt commented May 10, 2020

Hi @AJamesPhillips

  • This official ratio seems to be calculated by dividing the daily number of cases by the number of tests;
  • Our World in Data's ratio is calculated by dividing the total number of cases by the number of tests, since the outbreak started in the country.

Both can be considered valid and relevant metrics, but they describe different aspects of the epidemic and the public health policies in place.

Edouard

@edomt edomt closed this as completed May 10, 2020
@AJamesPhillips
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AJamesPhillips commented May 10, 2020

Great thank you so much @edomt . That makes a lot more sense now. I'm going to open another issue (#46) with a minor suggestion to clarify that in the page title / notes. Thank you again.

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