Fix unit test for fee estimation.

Unfortunately the unit test for fee estimation depends on the success threshold (and the decay) chosen.  Modify the unit test for the new default success thresholds.

src/test/policyestimator_tests.cpp

@@ -83,11 +83,13 @@ BOOST_AUTO_TEST_CASE(BlockPolicyEstimates)
         block.clear();
         if (blocknum == 30) {
             // At this point we should need to combine 5 buckets to get enough data points
-            // So estimateFee(1) should fail and estimateFee(2) should return somewhere around
-            // 8*baserate
+            // So estimateFee(1,2,3) should fail and estimateFee(4) should return somewhere around
+            // 8*baserate.  estimateFee(4) %'s are 100,100,100,100,90 = average 98%
             BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(1) == CFeeRate(0));
-            BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(2).GetFeePerK() < 8*baseRate.GetFeePerK() + deltaFee);
-            BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(2).GetFeePerK() > 8*baseRate.GetFeePerK() - deltaFee);
+            BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(2) == CFeeRate(0));
+            BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(3) == CFeeRate(0));
+            BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(4).GetFeePerK() < 8*baseRate.GetFeePerK() + deltaFee);
+            BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(4).GetFeePerK() > 8*baseRate.GetFeePerK() - deltaFee);
         }
     }
 
@@ -96,20 +98,23 @@ BOOST_AUTO_TEST_CASE(BlockPolicyEstimates)
     // Highest feerate is 10*baseRate and gets in all blocks,
     // second highest feerate is 9*baseRate and gets in 9/10 blocks = 90%,
     // third highest feerate is 8*base rate, and gets in 8/10 blocks = 80%,
-    // so estimateFee(1) should return 9*baseRate.
-    // Third highest feerate has 90% chance of being included by 2 blocks,
-    // so estimateFee(2) should return 8*baseRate etc...
+    // so estimateFee(1) should return 9*baseRate. (success thresh only 85%)
+    // Second highest feerate has 100% chance of being included by 2 blocks,
+    // so estimateFee(2) should return 9*baseRate etc...
     for (int i = 1; i < 10;i++) {
         origFeeEst.push_back(mpool.estimateFee(i).GetFeePerK());
         origPriEst.push_back(mpool.estimatePriority(i));
         if (i > 1) { // Fee estimates should be monotonically decreasing
             BOOST_CHECK(origFeeEst[i-1] <= origFeeEst[i-2]);
             BOOST_CHECK(origPriEst[i-1] <= origPriEst[i-2]);
         }
-        BOOST_CHECK(origFeeEst[i-1] < (10-i)*baseRate.GetFeePerK() + deltaFee);
-        BOOST_CHECK(origFeeEst[i-1] > (10-i)*baseRate.GetFeePerK() - deltaFee);
-        BOOST_CHECK(origPriEst[i-1] < pow(10,10-i) * basepri + deltaPri);
-        BOOST_CHECK(origPriEst[i-1] > pow(10,10-i) * basepri - deltaPri);
+        int mult = 11-i;
+        if (i == 1)
+            mult = 9; // success thresh is only 85% for 1
+        BOOST_CHECK(origFeeEst[i-1] < mult*baseRate.GetFeePerK() + deltaFee);
+        BOOST_CHECK(origFeeEst[i-1] > mult*baseRate.GetFeePerK() - deltaFee);
+        BOOST_CHECK(origPriEst[i-1] < pow(10,mult) * basepri + deltaPri);
+        BOOST_CHECK(origPriEst[i-1] > pow(10,mult) * basepri - deltaPri);
     }
 
     // Mine 50 more blocks with no transactions happening, estimates shouldn't change
@@ -140,8 +145,8 @@ BOOST_AUTO_TEST_CASE(BlockPolicyEstimates)
     }
 
     for (int i = 1; i < 10;i++) {
-        BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(i).GetFeePerK() > origFeeEst[i-1] - deltaFee);
-        BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimatePriority(i) > origPriEst[i-1] - deltaPri);
+        BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(i) == CFeeRate(0) || mpool.estimateFee(i).GetFeePerK() > origFeeEst[i-1] - deltaFee);
+        BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimatePriority(i) == -1 || mpool.estimatePriority(i) > origPriEst[i-1] - deltaPri);
     }
 
     // Mine all those transactions
@@ -161,9 +166,9 @@ BOOST_AUTO_TEST_CASE(BlockPolicyEstimates)
         BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimatePriority(i) > origPriEst[i-1] - deltaPri);
     }
 
-    // Mine 100 more blocks where everything is mined every block
-    // Estimates should be below original estimates (not possible for last estimate)
-    while (blocknum < 365) {
+    // Mine 200 more blocks where everything is mined every block
+    // Estimates should be below original estimates
+    while (blocknum < 465) {
         for (int j = 0; j < 10; j++) { // For each fee/pri multiple
             for (int k = 0; k < 5; k++) { // add 4 fee txs for every priority tx
                 tx.vin[0].prevout.n = 10000*blocknum+100*j+k;
@@ -177,7 +182,7 @@ BOOST_AUTO_TEST_CASE(BlockPolicyEstimates)
         mpool.removeForBlock(block, ++blocknum, dummyConflicted);
         block.clear();
     }
-    for (int i = 1; i < 9; i++) {
+    for (int i = 1; i < 10; i++) {
         BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimateFee(i).GetFeePerK() < origFeeEst[i-1] - deltaFee);
         BOOST_CHECK(mpool.estimatePriority(i) < origPriEst[i-1] - deltaPri);
     }