R code to estimate spread of coronavirus. Inspired by this Twitter thread: https://threader.app/thread/1236095180459003909
Created to get a gut-level sense of what might be heading at us in the US. Compartment model includes a 'hospitalization' and 'ICU-ization' steps to see what kind of pressure might be put on those public health services.
Definitions of parameters are in the R file along with justification for parameter values. Based on information in the above thread and this on-line doc: https://docs.google.com/document/d/1D4V36_nMqQNh1tusNVqozNjPw6N1457pajuFdPjCSCo/edit#heading=h.ar5dbbzhpidx
Comments that will strengthen the model are welcome.