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AILAOI

AI LA Open Innovation - pests.ai

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Introduction

Trees in the Santa Monica Mountains National Recreation Area (SMMNA) face threats from many invasive pests, particularly the invasive shot hole borer (ISHB) and the golden spotted oak borer (GSOB). To save these trees from a premature death, pests.ai has created a platform using a state of the art prediction algorithm for classifying risk of infestations for the two species in the SMMNA.

Model Task: Predict infestations in the SMMNA with machine learning and showcase results through an ArcGIS platform

Platform Features:

  • Marker for high, medium, and no risk infestations
  • Point-click landmark feature displayer
  • User notification for medium - high risk infestations with respective location of infestation

Methods

Machine Learning

Data Used: ISHB_consolidated.csv and Inspected_GSOB_Trees_0.csv files

Task: Predict location of high, medium, and no risk infestations of ISHB and GSOB

Classifier: XGBoost

Evaluation: ROC AUC Score

User Interface

Python API for ArcGIS dashboard

Data Flow

df

Contributions

  • High accuracy machine learning model
Dataset Model Accuracy Micro-Average ROC curve, AUC Macro-Average ROC curve, AUC
GSOB XGBoost ~ 0.966 ~ 0.99 ~ 0.99
ISHB XGBoost ~ 0.780 ~ 0.90 ~ 0.89
  • Fast notification module
  • User-friendly dashboard
  • Strong scalibility (applied on other regions)
  • End to End workflow for real data

Future Work

  • Involve more data, such as shp.file and landsat
  • Create a database to store and show historical infection status
  • Deploy the service on the cloud and update the real data for users
  • Analyse data by time sequence
  • Conbine current classifier with deep learning models

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