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GRU-Enhanced Monte Carlo Prediction for American Options

This project implements a modified Monte Carlo simulation algorithm for pricing American options. Unlike the standard recursive Monte Carlo approach, this method integrates a Gated Recurrent Unit (GRU) neural network to model and enhance the stochastic flow of stock price trajectories.

The idea is inspired by and built upon the research paper: “Pricing American Options using Machine Learning Algorithms” by Prudence Djagba and Callixte Ndizihiwe

This repository contains -

  • Code for training the GRU
  • Code for the Quantconnect Implementation

Below is a backtest done from January 2023 to December 2024 that showcases the code working

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