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The project strives to predict the risk of Parkinson's Disease progression in the patient based on the evaluation of baseline motor and non-motor symptoms of the patients via machine learning approach.

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Early Diagnosis of Parkinson’s Disease Progression

Abstract
Parkinson’s Disease (PD) is triggered due to the loss of dopaminergic neurons in the substantia nigra, disrupting the neural communication of the central nervous system towards reception and response of motor and cognitive senses of the patient. PD is a progressive neural disorder which worsens with ageing. With no clearly outlined pattern posed in symptoms, it is challenging for medical practitioners to identify the disease in its prodromal stage. Inspired from the cause, this research’s objective is to predict the rate of progression based on the baseline assessment of a patient so that an appropriate treatment plan can be designed for that individual patient. Biomarkers responsible for baseline assessment are extracted from multiple pre-clinical assessments designed to capture and scale the motor and cognitive impairments experienced by PD patients during the prodromal stage. The study performs clustering of PD patients into 3 clusters marking the rate of progression based on the captured clinical feature of the patients and performance comparison of 7 different ensembled and neural network-based classification model is conducted in this study. The study aims to assist medical practitioners in early diagnosis of risk PD among patients and adopt an appropriate measure to improve patient’s quality of life.

Research Question
How well can combined analysis of clinical biomarkers help identify risk of Parkinson’s Disease progression at prodromal stage?

Source of Data
Parkinson's Progression Makers Initiative (PPMI) (http://www.ppmi-info.org), Michael J. Fox Foundation for Parkinson’s Research. Data is fetched from PPMI data repository via dedicated pypmi API package (https://pypmi.readthedocs.io/en/latest/index.html).

Undrestanding of data
Dataset offers a complete evaluation of patient clinical condition from baseline to 5 years follow up visits. Captured data holds the clinical test score of various clinical assessment trials conducted on the patient to identify different cognitive and motor developed impairments. Datastore also maintains patient’s genetic data and brain MRI-Scan image data for purpose of research. However, in this research clinical assessments, data will be used as an early diagnostic biomarker of PD. Data is collected following standard data acquisition protocols with consent from the patient regarding the use of data for the purpose of research work. PPMI holds data for various clinical assessments for over 1800+ patients, belonging to two prominent categories, suffering from PD and Healthy control (HC).15 clinical assessments capture the premature motor and non-motor symptoms experienced by PD patients to scale the severity of the disease. In this research study important covariates are extracted from these set of assessments.

PPMI monitors symptomatic progression in PD patients at regular intervals. Participation of the patient at each interval is marked by a unique visit id. During every follow-up visit, patient is re-accessed for all baseline clinical assessments to capture the change in posed symptoms and understand the scenario of progression for that individual patient. These scheduled visits are marked as BL (Basel Line) (Prashanth and Dutta Roy, 2018), which is first-time evaluation of the patient, later to which each incremental visit is marked between V01 – V12.Participation of patients declines gradually moving towards the last visit. Also, not each assessment is mandatorily conducted on every scheduled visit. For the purpose of study, subgroup of 476 patients is created who showed active participation till last visit (V12), eliminating rest of the patients who quitted the programme halfway. For the purpose of this study, we focus only on Healthy Control (HC) and Parkinson’s Disease (PD) patients. Also, data available for rest of the category is not sufficient for analytical study.

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The project strives to predict the risk of Parkinson's Disease progression in the patient based on the evaluation of baseline motor and non-motor symptoms of the patients via machine learning approach.

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