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FIFA World Cup 2026 Prediction Agent

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fifa-world-cup-2026.mp4

TypeScript agent that predicts FIFA World Cup 2026 match outcomes, group standings, and tournament winners using an ensemble of Elo, Poisson, and form-based models — with optional AI hybrid blending and value-bet detection.

Features

  • Match predictions — win/draw/loss probabilities and expected goals per fixture
  • Group standings — simulated points tables from predicted results
  • Tournament simulation — projected champion and semifinalists
  • Value bet detection — compare model vs market odds with Kelly sizing
  • Agent tools — extensible tool-based prediction orchestration
  • AI hybrid mode — blend statistical ensemble with LLM qualitative analysis
  • Redis cache — optional caching for predictions and comparisons

Quick start

Requirements: Node.js 20+

npm install
npm test
npm run predict -- configs
npm run predict -- predict A1
npm run predict -- clubs Arsenal Chelsea
npm run predict -- standings
npm run predict -- value-bets

CLI reference

Command Description
clubs <home> <away> [--mock-ai] [--no-ai] Club match prediction from two team names (remote CSV history + AI hybrid)
configs List available prediction config profiles
predict <id> [--config name] [--ai] Single-match prediction (optional AI hybrid)
hybrid <id> [--ai-weight n] Side-by-side statistical vs AI breakdown
compare <id> Compare all configs + hybrid on one fixture
standings Simulated group tables
tournament [--config name] Bracket / champion projection
value-bets Model vs market edge scan with Kelly hints
redis ping / redis flush Cache health and purge

Examples

npm run predict -- clubs Arsenal Chelsea
npm run predict -- clubs Arsenal Chelsea --mock-ai
npm run predict -- predict A1
npm run predict -- predict A1 --config elo-heavy
npm run predict -- predict A1 --ai
npm run predict -- hybrid A1 --ai-weight 0.4
npm run predict -- compare A1
npm run predict -- tournament --config host-bias
npm run predict -- value-bets

Club predictions (agent + tools)

Predict domestic club fixtures by team name — separate from the World Cup matchId flow and from sports-betting-toolbox. Uses PredictionAgent.predictClubs() and the predict_clubs agent tool.

  1. Loads remote soccer CSV history (England, Spain, Italy, Germany, France)
  2. Builds team form and head-to-head context
  3. Blends statistical baseline with AI via the existing ai/ provider pattern
cp .env.example .env   # set OPENAI_API_KEY for live AI
npm run predict -- clubs Arsenal Chelsea
npm run predict -- clubs Arsenal Chelsea --mock-ai   # offline
npm run predict -- clubs Arsenal Chelsea --no-ai      # statistical only

Output: home/draw/away probabilities, predicted outcome, confidence, and AI reasoning.

AI integration

Combine statistical models with an LLM for qualitative factors (form, tactics, host pressure).

Mode Command API key needed
Statistical only predict A1 No
Hybrid (mock AI) predict A1 --ai or --mock-ai No
Hybrid (live AI) predict A1 --ai Yes — set OPENAI_API_KEY

Copy .env.example to .env and set your key. Works with any OpenAI-compatible endpoint via AI_BASE_URL.

AI_BLEND_WEIGHT=0.3 npm run predict -- hybrid A1

Prediction configs

Config Best for
balanced Default — blended Elo, goals, and form
elo-heavy Clear favorites (Argentina, France, Brazil)
form-heavy Teams on hot/cold streaks
goals-heavy Over/under and scoreline bets
conservative Higher draw probability, safer accumulators
host-bias USA/MEX/CAN at home venues

Pass --config <name> to any command, or use compare to see all configs side-by-side.

Models (balanced ensemble)

Model Weight Description
Elo 35% Rating-based win probability with home advantage
Poisson 30% Goal distribution from attack/defense strength
Form 20% Recent results momentum score
Squad 15% Squad market value strength (optional)

Architecture

fifa-world-cup-2026-prediction-agent/
├── src/
│   ├── agent/          Prediction agent and tools
│   ├── ai/             AI provider, prompt builder, hybrid combiner
│   ├── cli/            Command-line interface
│   ├── config/         Prediction + AI config profiles
│   ├── data/           Teams, groups, venues, fixtures, club CSV history
│   ├── models/         Elo, Poisson, form, ensemble
│   ├── odds/           Market odds and value bets
│   ├── predictions/    Match, club, and tournament predictors
│   ├── types/          TypeScript interfaces
│   └── utils/          Kelly, EV, logging, Redis cache
└── tests/

Environment variables

Variable Description
OPENAI_API_KEY Live AI hybrid mode
AI_BASE_URL OpenAI-compatible API base
AI_BLEND_WEIGHT AI weight in hybrid (default 0.3)
REDIS_URL / REDIS_HOST Optional prediction cache
REDIS_ENABLED false for memory-only

Scripts

Script Description
npm run predict CLI agent
npm run typecheck TypeScript check
npm run build Library build
npm test Vitest

Library usage

import { predictMatch } from "./src/predictions/matchPredictor.js";
import { findValueBets } from "./src/odds/valueBets.js";

const result = predictMatch("A1", "balanced");
const edges = findValueBets();

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FIFA World Cup 2026 match outcomes, group standings for sports betting market, sports betting market

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