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18 | 18 | # Trustees SingleYearTRTables_TR2025.xlsx, Tab VI.G9 |
19 | 19 | # Intermediate scenario for row 69, for Intermediate Scenario, 2027, Cost is: $1,715 billion |
20 | 20 | ss_cost_b = 1_715 |
21 | | -assert ss_total_b > ss_cost_b # 2 years of inflation |
22 | | - |
23 | | - |
24 | | -# Note: not our CPI-W: parameters.gov.bls.cpi.cpi_w("2026-01-05") |
25 | | -# |
26 | | -# CPI from Trustees SingleYearTRTables_TR2025.xlsx, Tab VI.G6 |
27 | | -cpi_w_2025 = 100 |
28 | | -cpi_w_2027 = 104.95 |
29 | | - |
30 | | -cpi_w_2025_b = parameters.gov.ssa.uprating("2025-01-01") |
31 | | -cpi_w_2027_b = parameters.gov.ssa.uprating("2027-01-01") |
32 | | - |
33 | | -ratio = cpi_w_2027 / cpi_w_2025 |
34 | | -ratio_b = cpi_w_2027_b / cpi_w_2025_b |
35 | | - |
36 | | -assert round(ss_total_b) == round(ss_cost_b * ratio) # Fails, but close |
37 | | - |
| 21 | +assert round(ss_total_b) > ss_cost_b |
38 | 22 |
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39 | 23 | # 2100 |
40 | 24 | sim = Microsimulation(dataset = H5_PATH + "2100.h5") |
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46 | 30 | # Trustees SingleYearTRTables_TR2025.xlsx, Tab VI.G9 |
47 | 31 | # Intermediate scenario for row 143, for Intermediate Scenario, 2100, Cost is: $1,033,686.26 billion |
48 | 32 | ss_cost_b = 5809 |
49 | | -assert ss_total_b > ss_cost_b # many years of inflation |
50 | | - |
51 | | -parameters.gov.ssa.uprating# Note: not our CPI-W: parameters.gov.bls.cpi.cpi_w("2026-01-05") |
52 | | -# |
53 | | -# CPI from Trustees SingleYearTRTables_TR2025.xlsx, Tab VI.G6 |
54 | | -cpi_w_2025 = 100 |
55 | | -cpi_w_2100 = 592.78 |
56 | | - |
57 | | -cpi_w_2025_b = parameters.gov.ssa.uprating("2025-01-06") |
58 | | -cpi_w_2100_b = parameters.gov.ssa.uprating("2100-01-06") |
59 | | - |
60 | | -ratio = cpi_w_2100 / cpi_w_2025 |
61 | | -ratio_b = cpi_w_2100_b / cpi_w_2025_b |
62 | | - |
63 | | -assert round(ss_total_b) == round(ss_cost_b * ratio) # fails, not close! |
| 33 | +assert round(ss_total_b) == ss_cost_b |
64 | 34 |
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65 | 35 | # Population count, total |
66 | 36 | ss_total_pop = 458_325_282 |
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