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Scenarios
Giacomo Falchetta edited this page Apr 17, 2023
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The RE4AFAGRI consortium designed three core scenarios at the center of the modelling efforts...
- Baseline:
- Improved access
- Ambitious development
The scenarios, characterised in the Table below,
|
Story/question |
RCP |
National goals |
SSP |
|---|---|---|---|
|
“Baseline” |
RCP 7.0 |
Current policies Agriculture: historical trend of production |
SSP2 |
|
Improved access |
RCP 7.0 |
Electricity access: halving the gap in 2030 water access & sanitation: halving the gap in 2030; Food security: increasing water supply to meet domestic food crops production demand in 2030 (given current diet, no extensification, fertilization, trade) |
SSP2 |
|
Ambitious development, sustainable targets |
RCP7.0 (SSP1, RCP2.6 on land) |
Energy universal access, universal water access & sanitation; nutrition security: improve yields to meet future food crop production demand to meet the EAT Lancet diet in 2030; Renewable electricity share = 100% + climate constraints |
SSP2 |
To define new scenarios,
Financial support from the European Commission H2020 funded project LEAP-RE (Long-Term Joint EU-AU Research and Innovation Partnership on Renewable Energy), grant number 963530 is gratefully acknowledged.