arima post - overview done

steven-ja · steven-ja · commit eacafb399a31 · 2024-06-30T13:08:11.000+02:00
diff --git a/content/posts/finance/stock_prediction/ARIMA/index.md b/content/posts/finance/stock_prediction/ARIMA/index.md
@@ -365,7 +365,7 @@ print(f"Best ARIMA order based on grid search: {best_order}")
 >
 > Best ARIMA order based on grid search: (3, 2, 4)
 
-At the end, we found that *(3,2,4)* offer better testing results (mape of 7.6% vs. 7.8% of manual parameters finding), even if there is only a tiny difference (0.2%). Moreover, since the values of p and q are lower the model will be faster and less prone to overfitting (smaller values of AR or MA coefficients).
+At the end, we found that *(3,2,4)* offer better testing results (mape of 7.6% vs. 7.8% of manual parameters finding), even if there is only a tiny difference (0.2%). Moreover, since the values of p and q are lower the model will be faster and less prone to overfitting (fewer number of AR or MA coefficients).
 
 ## 7. Limitations and Considerations
 
diff --git a/content/posts/physics/quantum_computing/example.ipynb b/content/posts/physics/quantum_computing/example.ipynb
diff --git a/public/categories/finance/index.html b/public/categories/finance/index.html
@@ -297,7 +297,7 @@
   <div class="card">
     <div class="card-head">
       <a href="/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/" class="post-card-link">
-        <img class="card-img-top" src='/images/default-hero.jpg' alt="Hero Image">
+        <img class="card-img-top" src='/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png' alt="Hero Image">
       </a>
     </div>
     <div class="card-body">
diff --git a/public/posts/finance/index.html b/public/posts/finance/index.html
@@ -433,7 +433,7 @@
   <div class="card">
     <div class="card-head">
       <a href="/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/" class="post-card-link">
-        <img class="card-img-top" src='/images/default-hero.jpg' alt="Hero Image">
+        <img class="card-img-top" src='/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png' alt="Hero Image">
       </a>
     </div>
     <div class="card-body">
diff --git a/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/arima_example.ipynb b/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/arima_example.ipynb
diff --git a/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png b/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png
diff --git a/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/index.html b/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/index.html
@@ -764,7 +764,7 @@ <h3 id="grid-search">Grid Search</h3>
 <p>temp best: (3, 2, 4) 0.07647187068962996</p>
 <p>Best ARIMA order based on grid search: (3, 2, 4)</p>
 </blockquote>
-<p>At the end, we found that <em>(3,2,4)</em> offer better testing results (mape of 7.6% vs. 7.8% of manual parameters finding), even if there is only a tiny difference (0.2%). Moreover, since the values of p and q are lower the model will be faster and less prone to overfitting (smaller values of AR or MA coefficients).</p>
+<p>At the end, we found that <em>(3,2,4)</em> offer better testing results (mape of 7.6% vs. 7.8% of manual parameters finding), even if there is only a tiny difference (0.2%). Moreover, since the values of p and q are lower the model will be faster and less prone to overfitting (fewer number of AR or MA coefficients).</p>
 <h2 id="7-limitations-and-considerations">7. Limitations and Considerations</h2>
 <p>While ARIMA models can be powerful for time series prediction, they have limitations:</p>
 <ol>
diff --git a/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/index.html b/public/posts/finance/stock_prediction/index.html
@@ -436,7 +436,7 @@
   <div class="card">
     <div class="card-head">
       <a href="/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/" class="post-card-link">
-        <img class="card-img-top" src='/images/default-hero.jpg' alt="Hero Image">
+        <img class="card-img-top" src='/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png' alt="Hero Image">
       </a>
     </div>
     <div class="card-body">
diff --git a/public/posts/physics/quantum_computing/example.ipynb b/public/posts/physics/quantum_computing/example.ipynb
diff --git a/public/search/index.html b/public/search/index.html
@@ -1,7 +1,7 @@
 <!DOCTYPE html>
 <html lang="en">
   <head><script src="/livereload.js?mindelay=10&amp;v=2&amp;port=1313&amp;path=livereload" data-no-instant defer></script>
-    <title>Search Results</title>
+    <title>Suchergebnisse</title>
     <meta charset="UTF-8" />
 <meta name="viewport" content="width=device-width, initial-scale=1.0" />
 <meta http-equiv="X-UA-Compatible" content="ie=edge" />
@@ -25,7 +25,7 @@
 
 <meta property="og:url" content="http://localhost:1313/search/">
   <meta property="og:site_name" content="Stefano Giannini">
-  <meta property="og:title" content="Search Results">
+  <meta property="og:title" content="Suchergebnisse">
   <meta property="og:description" content="This file exists solely to respond to /search URL with the related search layout template.
 No content shown here is rendered, all content is based in the template layouts/page/search.html
 Setting a very low sitemap priority will tell search engines this is not important content.
@@ -39,7 +39,7 @@
 
     
   <meta name="twitter:card" content="summary">
-  <meta name="twitter:title" content="Search Results">
+  <meta name="twitter:title" content="Suchergebnisse">
   <meta name="twitter:description" content="This file exists solely to respond to /search URL with the related search layout template.
 No content shown here is rendered, all content is based in the template layouts/page/search.html
 Setting a very low sitemap priority will tell search engines this is not important content.
diff --git a/public/tags/finance/index.html b/public/tags/finance/index.html
@@ -327,7 +327,7 @@
   <div class="card">
     <div class="card-head">
       <a href="/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/" class="post-card-link">
-        <img class="card-img-top" src='/images/default-hero.jpg' alt="Hero Image">
+        <img class="card-img-top" src='/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png' alt="Hero Image">
       </a>
     </div>
     <div class="card-body">
diff --git a/public/tags/forecasting/index.html b/public/tags/forecasting/index.html
@@ -327,7 +327,7 @@
   <div class="card">
     <div class="card-head">
       <a href="/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/" class="post-card-link">
-        <img class="card-img-top" src='/images/default-hero.jpg' alt="Hero Image">
+        <img class="card-img-top" src='/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png' alt="Hero Image">
       </a>
     </div>
     <div class="card-body">
diff --git a/public/tags/statistics/index.html b/public/tags/statistics/index.html
@@ -327,7 +327,7 @@
   <div class="card">
     <div class="card-head">
       <a href="/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/" class="post-card-link">
-        <img class="card-img-top" src='/images/default-hero.jpg' alt="Hero Image">
+        <img class="card-img-top" src='/posts/finance/stock_prediction/arima/images/test_forecast.png' alt="Hero Image">
       </a>
     </div>
     <div class="card-body">

Original file line number	Diff line number	Diff line change
`@@ -365,7 +365,7 @@ print(f"Best ARIMA order based on grid search: {best_order}")`
`365`	`365`	`>`
`366`	`366`	`> Best ARIMA order based on grid search: (3, 2, 4)`
`367`	`367`
`368`		`-At the end, we found that (3,2,4) offer better testing results (mape of 7.6% vs. 7.8% of manual parameters finding), even if there is only a tiny difference (0.2%). Moreover, since the values of p and q are lower the model will be faster and less prone to overfitting (smaller values of AR or MA coefficients).`
	`368`	`+At the end, we found that (3,2,4) offer better testing results (mape of 7.6% vs. 7.8% of manual parameters finding), even if there is only a tiny difference (0.2%). Moreover, since the values of p and q are lower the model will be faster and less prone to overfitting (fewer number of AR or MA coefficients).`
`369`	`369`
`370`	`370`	`## 7. Limitations and Considerations`
`371`	`371`