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A Unified Mixed-Effects Framework for Earthquake Source-Parameter Scaling


This repository contains the coded data products, trained mixed-effects regression models, and MATLAB functions developed for estimating earthquake source parameters from finite-fault models.

The framework provides statistically robust estimates of:

• Fault geometry parameters:

  • Effective length (Leff)
  • Effective width (Weff)
  • Effective area (Aeff)
  • Aspect ratio (Leff/Weff)
  • Very-large asperity area (Avla)
  • Large asperity area (Ala)

• Slip-distribution parameters:

  • Mean slip (Dmean)
  • Maximum slip (Dmax)
  • Slip standard deviation (Dstd)
  • Approximate static stress-drop proxy (Dmean/Weff)

The estimates are obtained using a hierarchical mixed-effects formulation that explicitly accounts for:

  • Tectonic regime
  • Fault mechanism
  • Seismic region
  • Inversion data modality
  • Fault-plane spatial resolution of the finite-fault model (FFM)
  • Intra-event variability arising from multiple FFMs for the same earthquake

Model FUnctional Form:

The primary MATLAB function, predictSP.m, enables users to obtain source-parameter estimates using minimal inputs (e.g., earthquake magnitude and location), while optionally including or excluding selected random effects and returning uncertainty bounds.


Contents

  • predictSP.m
    Primary MATLAB function for predicting source parameters using the trained mixed-effects regression models

  • Model.mat
    Encrypted MATLAB data containing the input metadata and trained mixed-effects models

  • loadModel.m
    MATLAB helper function for loading the encrypted model files

  • Examples.m
    Worked examples demonstrating typical usage scenarios


Requirements

  • MATLAB R2021b or later
  • Statistics and Machine Learning Toolbox

Citation

If you use this framework, please cite the associated publication (details will be added upon acceptance).

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MATLAB implementation of a mixed-effects regression framework for earthquake source-parameter scaling using finite-fault models.

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