EPSILON Falsification Challenge — submit one assumption

[DresdenGman]

The challenge

Complete one EPSILON research loop, then identify the first assumption you would challenge.

This is not a contest to find the highest return. The goal is to make a conclusion fail honestly—or explain what additional evidence it would need before it deserves trust.

How to participate

1. Open the guest workspace: https://epsilon-livid.vercel.app/dashboard
2. Choose a market subject.
3. Write a hypothesis and a rejection condition before testing.
4. Run the Strategy Lab test.
5. Inspect the configuration, metrics, trades, and evidence boundaries.
6. Use Interrogate to challenge the interpretation.
7. Reply below using the template.

Response template

Claim tested:
First assumption I would challenge:
Why it matters:
Evidence that would change my mind:
One product change I recommend:
May EPSILON quote this feedback publicly? Yes / No

What happens to your feedback

Each substantive challenge will receive a public disposition:

• Accepted — it identifies a real weakness and leads to a documented change;
• Experiment queued — it needs a new test or data source;
• Not accepted — the objection does not apply, with the reason preserved;
• Duplicate — it reinforces an existing challenge.

No response will be counted as an independent review unless a real person submits it. No praise, upvote, or Star is required.

Evidence boundary

The public guest workflow uses controlled browser-local synthetic evidence. It does not establish historical validity, live market performance, profitability, general robustness, or investment advice.

One question: What assumption would you challenge first?