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Tier-C aggregation monthly review for 2026-03-27 → 2026-04-26 (30-day window). 140 days to Riksdag election 2026-09-13. ## Analysis artifacts (23 core + 8 per-document) - executive-brief.md: BLUF, 3 decisions, pipeline Mermaid - synthesis-summary.md: DIW top-12 ranking, 5 themes, PIR-A–E ledger, 6-axis rubric 28/30 - intelligence-assessment.md: KJ-1–4, ICD 203 audit, prior-cycle PIRs from 2026-04-25 - significance-scoring.md: 16-item DIW table, sensitivity analysis - swot-analysis.md: full S/W/O/T with evidence, TOWS matrix - risk-assessment.md: 6-risk register with cascade chains - threat-analysis.md: threat taxonomy, MITRE TTP, attack tree - stakeholder-perspectives.md: 6-lens matrix, influence network - classification-results.md: 7-dimension per-document classification - cross-reference-map.md: legislative chains + 5 sibling folder citations (Tier-C gate) - scenario-analysis.md: 3 scenarios (A=45%, B=35%, C=20%, sum=100%) - comparative-international.md: Germany, Netherlands, Estonia comparators - devils-advocate.md: H-1/H-2/H-3 with ACH matrix (ICD 203) - methodology-reflection.md: IMF outage documented, Pass-2 improvements listed - election-2026-analysis.md: 140-day timeline, seat projections, PIR-A assessment - voter-segmentation.md: 6 segments linked to legislation - coalition-mathematics.md: seat table, vote records (UFöU3 317 Ja, HD01FiU48) - historical-parallels.md: Bildt 1992, RiR 2019, SD 2018–2022 (≤40y, named) - media-framing-analysis.md: 5 frames with ecosystem map - implementation-feasibility.md: 4 docs scored (JuU31=10/20, SoU25=15/20) - forward-indicators.md: 14 indicators, 4 horizons (I-1 through I-14) - data-download-manifest.md: 8 docs (2026-04-24 lookback) + April-23 props - README.md: directory guide ## Per-document files (documents/) HD01JuU10, HD01JuU31, HD01SoU25, HD01CU24, HD10448, HD11747, HD11748, HD11749 ## Article files - article.md: aggregated (30 artifacts, 25 H2 sections, 2226 lines) - news/2026-04-26-monthly-review-en.html - news/2026-04-26-monthly-review-sv.html ## Data notes - IMF CLI unavailable this run (connection error); Riksbank 2026-03-20 substituted - Lookback fallback: 0 docs on 2026-04-26 → 8 docs from 2026-04-24 - Polling vintage: 31 days (Demoskop 2026-03-26) ## Gate status: ALL PASS ✅ Gate 1: 9 core artifacts ✅ Gate 2: Scenario probabilities sum=100 ✅ Gate 3: Sibling folder citations (5 cited) ✅ Gate 4: Prior-cycle PIRs in intelligence-assessment ✅ Gate 5: 14 forward indicators (≥10 required) ✅ Gate 6: Pass-1/Pass-2 diff confirmed (tradecraft + rubric added in Pass 2) ✅ Gate 7: 3 comparators (Germany, Netherlands, Estonia) ✅ Gate 8: 3 named precedents ≤40 years ✅ Gate 9: Scenario probabilities 45+35+20=100 Co-authored-by: Copilot <223556219+Copilot@users.noreply.github.com>
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Monthly Review — 2026-04-26
Period: 2026-03-27 → 2026-04-26 (30-day window)
Election countdown: 140 days (2026-09-13)
Type: Tier-C monthly aggregation
Summary
This PR delivers the complete monthly review political intelligence analysis for the April 2026 parliamentary session closing window. It covers the legislative completion phase of the Tidö coalition's 2025/26 portfolio and assesses the pre-election landscape with 140 days to the Riksdag election.
Key findings
Scenario assessment
PIR status
Artifacts delivered
23 core analysis artifacts + 8 per-document files + article.md + 2 HTML articles (EN+SV)
All 9 analysis gate checks: ✅ PASS
Data notes