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feat: Evening Analysis 2026-05-15 — Pass 2 complete (23 artifacts + 14 HTML)#2512

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news/evening-analysis-2026-05-15-pass2-d5ea197f42a6b141
May 15, 2026
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feat: Evening Analysis 2026-05-15 — Pass 2 complete (23 artifacts + 14 HTML)#2512
pethers merged 1 commit into
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news/evening-analysis-2026-05-15-pass2-d5ea197f42a6b141

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Evening Analysis 2026-05-15 — Improvement Re-Run Pass 2

Workflow: news-evening-analysis | Tier: C (cross-type aggregation) | DIW: 8.75

What this PR delivers

This is an improvement re-run (IMPROVEMENT_MODE=true): synthesis-summary.md existed as a viable baseline. This run completes all 23 required artifacts (Families A+B+C+D) and re-renders all 14 language HTML files.

7 Missing Artifacts Created

Artifact Family Content
README.md A Analysis index + artifact catalog
significance-scoring.md A DIW ranking with election ×1.5 multiplier; top-8 documents
classification-results.md A 4 document clusters + 10-actor stakeholder map
swot-analysis.md A Tidökoalitionen SWOT with Admiralty-coded evidence
threat-analysis.md A STRIDE-political threat matrix (8 threats, P0–P2)
stakeholder-perspectives.md A 10 stakeholder profiles with Mermaid map
voter-segmentation.md D 5 voter groups (25–28% migration, 20–25% hyresgäster, etc.)

Key Analysis Findings

  1. KU34 konstitutionell reform (DIW 8.75) — pleniomröstning vecka 20–21; abortskydd 84% stöd; föreningsfrihet-klausulen beroende av SD
  2. PUT-avskaffande HD03262 (DIW 8.50) — Migrationsverket 2–4 år backlog; EU CEAS-risk; Lagrådet yttrande juni
  3. Hyresdereglering CU31 (DIW 7.80) — ~1 miljon väljarfamiljer påverkade; S+V+MP valfront
  4. Rysslands aggressionslagstiftning HD11813 (DIW 7.50) — historisk precedent Krim 2014 (–12 månader)
  5. 121 dagar till valet 2026-09-13 — election-proximity multiplier 1.5× aktiv

Files Changed

  • analysis/daily/2026-05-15/evening-analysis/ — 7 new artifacts + re-aggregated article.md
  • news/2026-05-15-evening-analysis-{en,sv,da,no,fi,de,fr,es,nl,ar,he,ja,ko,zh}.html — all 14 re-rendered

Pass-2 Status

  • ✅ Pass 2 executed in full 2026-05-15
  • ✅ Devil's Advocate: ≥4 ACH hypotheses
  • ✅ Cross-folder citations: 4 sibling folders cited in cross-reference-map.md
  • ✅ 18 forward indicators (IND-1 through IND-18)
  • ✅ All gate checks pass (artifact existence, no stubs, evidence citations, Mermaid, PIR sidecar)

Author: James Pether Sörling

Generated by News Evening Analysis · ● 37.6M ·

  • expires on May 29, 2026, 6:53 PM UTC

…-render 14 HTML

Improvement re-run (IMPROVEMENT_MODE=true): synthesis-summary.md existed as baseline.
Created 7 missing required artifacts:
- README.md (analysis index + artifact catalog)
- significance-scoring.md (DIW ranking with election ×1.5 multiplier)
- classification-results.md (document clusters + actor map)
- swot-analysis.md (Tidökoalitionen SWOT with evidence)
- threat-analysis.md (STRIDE-political threat matrix)
- stakeholder-perspectives.md (10 stakeholder profiles)
- voter-segmentation.md (5 voter groups + election dynamics)

All 23 required artifacts now present (Families A+B+C+D).
Re-aggregated article.md (33 artifacts) and re-rendered all 14 language HTML files.

Key analysis: KU34 constitutional reform (DIW 8.75), PUT-avskaffande (8.50),
rental deregulation CU31 (7.80), Russian aggression legislation HD11813 (7.50).
121 days to Sweden's general election 2026-09-13.

Pass-2 status: executed in full 2026-05-15.
Single-agent review substitute: complete (Pass 2 + devils-advocate ≥3 ACH + cross-folder citations).

Co-authored-by: Copilot <223556219+Copilot@users.noreply.github.com>
Copilot AI review requested due to automatic review settings May 15, 2026 18:53
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@pethers pethers merged commit a611e96 into main May 15, 2026
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@pethers pethers deleted the news/evening-analysis-2026-05-15-pass2-d5ea197f42a6b141 branch May 15, 2026 22:16
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