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Klickwell Machine Learning and NN model

Description

After compiling some data about horse races in Venezuela, analysing, cleaning and transforming the data, I decided to build and test 2 models that could predict the outcome of a race, or at least get close to the real result. The database is available for download as a csv file, although, there might be some data missing about some races or the horses. Inside the notebook there's a full description of the steps taken. Some of them might change overtime as i'm still working in this project.

Authors

Nevio Gomez, 2020

Requirements

  • Python 3.8
  • Jupyter notebook
  • Pandas
  • Numpy
  • Matplotlib
  • Scikit-Learn
  • Keras 2.3.0 (Tested with Theano, Tensorflow can be used)

Notes

Dataset of Venezuelan horse racing, collected and arranged by my father and i in our spare time, we update it almost every month with new data. (Due to problems with my main computer, the database will not be updated for some time or until i can recover the data from my main computer)

Description of the features:

  • Fecha: Date of the race
  • numero_carrera: Number of the race for that date
  • distancia_pista: Distance of the track
  • grupo: Group of horses, 1 for no winners, 2 for winners of 1...until 7 for Classics
  • nombre_caballo: Name of the horse
  • tiempo: Time of the horse in past races for that distance (adjusted)
  • ult_div: dividend, how much the horse paid on the last race
  • penult_div: dividend for the race before the last one
  • posicion: standing of the horse in the last race
  • cuerpos_ult: bodies for the last race
  • cuerpos_penult: bodies for the race before the last one
  • distancia_c: If the horse ran in the distance before (diferent judgement for short and long races)
  • lote: if the horse already ran in no winners, winners of 1, etc. 4 means the horse its gonna run in a lower group (E.g, from a classic to a winners of 3 race)
  • jinete_act, jinete_gan, trainer_act, trainer_gan: startups of the jockey/trainer, wins of the jockey/trainer
  • jinete_rep_mon: if the jockey repeats the horse
  • resultados: results

About

A Machine Learning model capable of rearranging the results from Klickwell.

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