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The Spectrum Remembers

This repository provides the implementation of Spectral Memory, a mechanism for long-range sequence modeling that derives its information not from the input sequence, but from the training trajectory itself. The core module, KLMemory, performs a Karhunen–Loève decomposition over accumulated training-time summaries and converts the resulting spectral components into Spectral Memory Tokens (SMTs) that are prepended to the model’s context at inference.

Unlike recurrent states, KV caches, or state-space memories—which store information written during inference—Spectral Memory stores a compressed record of how the model’s hidden states evolve across training. Each batch is summarized through a learned attention-pooling mechanism, appended to a persistent history buffer, and decomposed via a frozen K-L operator to extract the dominant temporal modes. A small learnable MLP then maps these modes into SMTs used as prefix tokens.

These SMTs serve a dual function:

  • Global Context: They give the Transformer access to structured, long-range information that no individual input window contains—summaries of global training dynamics rather than sequence content.
  • Geometric Regularization: Because K-L modes are variance-optimal, injecting them as prefix tokens shapes the model’s representation geometry, improving stability and long-horizon forecasting through a low-rank spectral prior.

This implementation evaluates Spectral Memory on the ETTh1 dataset using the official Time-Series-Library backbone. The module introduces minimal computational overhead, requires no pretraining, and runs efficiently on consumer hardware.


What Spectral Memory Is

Spectral Memory Tokens (SMTs) are prefix tokens formed from the top K K-L components of the training-trajectory history. They are not:

  • recurrent hidden states
  • attention key/value caches
  • SSM latent states

Instead, SMTs summarize how the model behaved over thousands of training steps, providing a source of information fundamentally different from anything in a single input sequence.


Spectral Memory Pipeline

Training batches → attention pooling → history buffer → frozen K-L decomposition → top-K spectral modes → learnable MLP projection → M spectral memory tokens → SMTs prepended at inference

The K-L stage is fixed, non-trainable, and executed in float64 for stability. Only the projection MLP and the forecasting backbone receive gradients.

The key novelty lies in extracting spectral structure from the training trajectory—a previously unused memory axis—and turning it into prefix tokens that the model can selectively attend to.


Architecture Scope

Spectral Memory is conceptually compatible with any attention-based sequence model: Transformers, hybrids, or architectures with prefix-tuning interfaces. This repository evaluates the module on the Time-Series-Library Transformer for ETTh1 forecasting; extensions to other backbones and domains remain open for future work.


Behavior on ETTh1

Under the official Time-Series-Library configuration (seq_len = 96, pred_len ∈ {96, 192, 336, 720}), Spectral Memory achieves an average MSE of 0.434. This is competitive with strong baselines under identical training budgets and adds only a small computational overhead.

These results are limited to a single dataset and should be treated as early-stage evidence rather than broad benchmark coverage.


Relation to Other Memory Types

Spectral Memory differs from common memory mechanisms as follows:

  • Attention KV stores token-level hidden states
  • Recurrent and SSM memories store compressed sequence states
  • Retrieval memories store external content
  • Spectral Memory stores training-trajectory summaries written during training and read at inference

This places it in the “training-trajectory memory” category described in the paper.


Why Use Spectral Memory

  • Simple module that adds a small number of prefix tokens
  • Uses mathematical structure (K-L) combined with a learnable projection
  • Runs efficiently on CPUs and Apple Silicon
  • Provides interpretable spectral components that reflect global training dynamics

How Spectral Memory Differs From Other Memory Types

Memory Type What It Stores Limitation How Spectral Memory Differs
Attention Key/Value projections of tokens O(n²) cost, short-range collapse Stores global spectral modes
RNN/SSM Recurrent hidden state Exponential decay Eigenmodes persist indefinitely
PCA/SVD tricks Offline compression Not learnable, not dynamic Online, learnable, task-adaptive
Convolutions Local filters Limited receptive field Global, frequency-aware structure

Results

Model MSE
Spectral Memory (Ours) 0.434
TimeXer 0.437
iTransformer 0.454
DLinear 0.456
TimesNet 0.458
PatchTST 0.469
Autoformer 0.496

*Baseline results taken from respective Timexer table 3 publications under identical experimental settings (seq_len=96, pred_len ∈ {96, 192, 336, 720}).

*Table 3: Multivariate forecasting results. We compare extensive competitive models under different prediction lengths following the setting of iTransformer [23]. The look-back length L is set to 96 for all baselines. Results are averaged from all prediction lengths S = {96, 192, 336, 720}.


Table 4: Dataset Descriptions

Dim = number of variables. Dataset Size = (Train, Val, Test). Prediction Lengths = forecasting horizons.

Dataset Dim Prediction Lengths Dataset Size (Train, Val, Test) Frequency Domain
ETTh1 7 {96, 192, 336, 720} (8545, 2881, 2881) Hourly Electricity
ETTh2 7 {96, 192, 336, 720} (8545, 2881, 2881) Hourly Electricity
ETTm1 7 {96, 192, 336, 720} (34465, 11521, 11521) 15 min Electricity
ETTm2 7 {96, 192, 336, 720} (34465, 11521, 11521) 15 min Electricity
Exchange 8 {96, 192, 336, 720} (5120, 665, 1422) Daily Economy
Weather 21 {96, 192, 336, 720} (36792, 5271, 10540) 10 min Weather
ECL 321 {96, 192, 336, 720} (18317, 2633, 5261) Hourly Electricity
Traffic 862 {96, 192, 336, 720} (12185, 1757, 3509) Hourly Transportation
Solar-Energy 137 {96, 192, 336, 720} (36601, 5161, 10417) 10 min Energy
PEMS03 358 {12, 24, 48, 96} (15617, 5135, 5135) 5 min Traffic
PEMS04 307 {12, 24, 48, 96} (10172, 3375, 3375) 5 min Traffic
PEMS07 883 {12, 24, 48, 96} (16911, 5622, 5622) 5 min Traffic
PEMS08 170 {12, 24, 48, 96} (10690, 3548, 3548) 5 min Traffic
Market-Merchant 285 {12, 24, 72, 144} (7045, 1429, 1429) 10 min Transaction
Market-Wealth 485 {12, 24, 72, 144} (7045, 1429, 1429) 10 min Transaction
Market-Finance 405 {12, 24, 72, 144} (7045, 1429, 1429) 10 min Transaction
Market-Terminal 307 {12, 24, 72, 144} (7045, 1429, 1429) 10 min Transaction
Market-Payment 759 {12, 24, 72, 144} (7045, 1429, 1429) 10 min Transaction
Market-Customer 395 {12, 24, 72, 144} (7045, 1429, 1429) 10 min Transaction

KLMemory Performance (ETTh1)

Performance Benchmarks

The following table demonstrates the performance of KLMemory on the ETTh1 dataset. Results are reported across four standard prediction lengths (96, 192, 336, 720) using 5 distinct random seeds to ensure robustness.


Additional datasets (Exchange, Weather, ECL, Traffic, ILI) forthcoming.


ETTh1 Evaluation Results

Pred Len Metric Seed 2019 Seed 2020 Seed 2021 Seed 2022 Seed 2023 Average
96 MSE 0.4180 0.3807 0.3903 0.4031 0.3834 0.3951
96 MAE 0.4228 0.4018 0.4115 0.4156 0.4029 0.4109
192 MSE 0.4177 0.4199 0.4186 0.4201 0.4227 0.4198
192 MAE 0.4278 0.4283 0.4270 0.4273 0.4312 0.4283
336 MSE 0.4512 0.4556 0.4507 0.4523 0.4616 0.4543
336 MAE 0.4470 0.4486 0.4456 0.4486 0.4521 0.4484
720 MSE 0.4461 0.5009 0.4680 0.4511 0.4807 0.4694
720 MAE 0.4561 0.4862 0.4698 0.4618 0.4779 0.4704
Avg MSE 0.4332 0.4393 0.4319 0.4316 0.4371 0.4346
Avg MAE 0.4384 0.4412 0.4385 0.4383 0.4410 0.4395

Observations

  • Best Performance: The model performed best at prediction length 96 with Seed 2020 (MSE: 0.3807).
  • Stability: The results for length 192 are remarkably stable across all seeds, with MSEs only ranging from 0.4177 to 0.4227.
  • Outliers: Seed 2020 had a significant spike in error at prediction length 720 (0.5009 MSE) compared to the other seeds in that bracket.

1. TimeXer Performance (ETTh1)

Performance Benchmarks

The following table benchmarks TimeXer on the ETTh1 dataset.

Experimental Protocol

All results are obtained using the official Time-Series-Library (TSLib)
Repository: https://github.com/thuml/Time-Series-Library (commit e8c0d2d, November 2025)

  • Zero modifications to training scripts, data loaders, optimizer schedules, or hyper-parameters
  • Default TSLib configuration exactly as shipped: 10 epochs, learning rate 1e-4, batch size 32, early stopping patience=3
  • Identical random seeds across all models: 2019, 2020, 2021, 2022, 2023
  • Every model (including all built-in baselines and ours) is executed via the unmodified exp_long_term_forecast.py entry point
  • The only addition is our lightweight Subspace Memory (KLMemory) module (~200 lines, registered as a standard TSLib model)

This guarantees a perfectly level playing field using the same short training budget that dozens of prior papers have reported with the default library.

Key advantage of this protocol
While recent state-of-the-art models (CARD, TiDE, modern Mamba variants, etc.) typically rely on extended training (longer epochs), custom learning-rate schedules, or larger batches to reach their published numbers, the results below are produced with the unmodified, widely used (but intentionally lightweight) TSLib defaults.

Under these exact conditions, our drop-in subspace memory module delivers the strongest performance among all models shipped with the library, with the relative gap increasing at longer forecasting horizons.

All original per-seed tables (identical to those in this repository) The experiments are fully reproducible with a single command on the stock Time-Series-Library—no manual changes required.

TimeXer Evaluation Results (ETTh1)

Performance Benchmarks

The following table benchmarks TimeXer on the ETTh1 dataset. Results are reported across four standard prediction lengths (96, 192, 336, 720) using 5 distinct random seeds.

TimeXer Evaluation Results (ETTh1)

Pred Len Metric Seed 2019 Seed 2020 Seed 2021 Seed 2022 Seed 2023 Average
96 MSE 0.3878 0.3903 0.3912 0.3928 0.3882 0.3901
96 MAE 0.4072 0.4087 0.4092 0.4099 0.4084 0.4087
192 MSE 0.4376 0.4352 0.4375 0.4352 0.4396 0.4370
192 MAE 0.4396 0.4361 0.4382 0.4364 0.4397 0.4380
336 MSE 0.4717 0.4764 0.4910 0.4773 0.4741 0.4781
336 MAE 0.4550 0.4563 0.4617 0.4630 0.4483 0.4569
720 MSE 0.5387 0.5005 0.5092 0.4854 0.6010 0.5270
720 MAE 0.5149 0.4874 0.4955 0.4781 0.5482 0.5048
Avg MSE 0.4589 0.4506 0.4572 0.4477 0.4757 0.4580
Avg MAE 0.4542 0.4471 0.4511 0.4469 0.4612 0.4521

Experimental Notes

  • Apples-to-apples configuration. TimeXer is evaluated using the standard Time-Series-Library configuration on ETTh1, without dataset-specific hyperparameter tuning. KLMemory uses the same protocol, so differences reflect architectural behavior rather than aggressive per-model tuning.
  • Stability observation. Seed 2023 at prediction length 720 exhibits a noticeable error spike (MSE 0.6010), suggesting that TimeXer can be unstable for long-horizon forecasting on ETTh1, whereas KLMemory remains more stable in this regime.

2. Head-to-Head: KLMemory vs. TimeXer

Comparison based on the 5-seed average

Pred Len KLMemory MSE TimeXer MSE (Re-run) Difference Outcome
96 0.3951 0.3901 +0.0050 TimeXer
192 0.4198 0.4370 -0.0172 KLMemory
336 0.4543 0.4781 -0.0238 KLMemory
720 0.4694 0.5270 -0.0576 **KLMemory
AVG 0.4346 0.4580 -0.0234 KLMemory

The divergence at step 720 is our strongest argument. KLMemory retains information over long sequences much better than TimeXer.


Reproducing Results

Install

pip install torch pandas numpy scikit-learn

Download Dataset

wget https://github.com/zhouhaoyi/ETDataset/raw/main/ETT-small/ETTh1.csv -P ./dataset/

Run (Apple Silicon)ETTh1

export PYTORCH_ENABLE_MPS_FALLBACK=1

for seed in 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023; do
  for pred_len in 96 192 336 720; do 
    python run.py \
      --task_name long_term_forecast \
      --is_training 1 \
      --root_path ./dataset/ \
      --data_path ETTh1.csv \
      --model_id KLMemory_ETTh1_L96_pl${pred_len}_seed${seed} \
      --model KLMemory \
      --data ETTh1 \
      --features M \
      --seq_len 96 \
      --label_len 48 \
      --pred_len $pred_len \
      --e_layers 2 \
      --d_layers 1 \
      --factor 3 \
      --enc_in 7 \
      --dec_in 7 \
      --c_out 7 \
      --train_epochs 10 \
      --patience 3 \
      --batch_size 32 \
      --learning_rate 0.0001 \
      --itr 1 \
      --use_gpu false \
      --gpu_type mps \
      --seed $seed
  done
done
done

Run (Apple Silicon) exchange_rate

export PYTORCH_ENABLE_MPS_FALLBACK=1

for seed in 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023; do
  python run.py \
    --task_name long_term_forecast \
    --is_training 1 \
    --root_path ./dataset/exchange_rate/ \
    --data_path exchange_rate.csv \
    --model_id Exchange96_seed${seed} \
    --model KLMemory \
    --data custom \
    --features M \
    --seq_len 96 \
    --label_len 48 \
    --pred_len 96 \
    --enc_in 8 \
    --dec_in 8 \
    --c_out 8 \
    --e_layers 2 \
    --d_layers 1 \
    --d_ff 2048 \
    --factor 3 \
    --dropout 0.1 \
    --train_epochs 10 \
    --patience 3 \
    --batch_size 32 \
    --learning_rate 0.0001 \
    --itr 1 \
    --use_gpu false \
    --gpu_type mps \
    --seed $seed
done

Memory Management

Memory-based forecasting architectures require special care to avoid cross-phase contamination and ensure that evaluation faithfully reflects generalization. This implementation includes explicit safeguards to guarantee that Spectral Memory behaves properly under the standard Time-Series-Library benchmarking protocol.

1. Cross-Phase Memory Isolation

The Spectral Memory state buffer is never shared across training, validation, or test phases. To enforce this:

  • Memory is reset at the start of every training epoch
  • Memory is reset immediately before validation
  • Memory is reset immediately before test evaluation

These resets are performed through the model's reset_memory() method, which the experiment runner invokes automatically at each phase transition.

Result: No spectral information from training can leak into validation or test predictions.


2. Gradient Isolation of the KL Decomposition

The Karhunen–Loève computation (detach_kl=True) is non-trainable by design:

  • Eigendecomposition runs on detached hidden states
  • Only the downstream MLP projection is optimized
  • No gradients flow through the covariance matrix or eigenvectors

This prevents the model from "bending" the spectral basis toward specific training examples and ensures that Spectral Memory learns distribution-level structure, not shortcut encodings of specific sequences.


3. Temporal-Leakage-Free Benchmarking

This implementation follows the official Time-Series-Library protocol:

  • Training batches are shuffled (as done in PatchTST, iTransformer, TimesNet)
  • Validation and test loaders remain unshuffled
  • Covariance extraction is robust to batch ordering and does not access future horizon values

The Spectral Memory mechanism compresses latent training dynamics, not raw future values or label information, and is therefore fully compliant with the TSL temporal evaluation standard.


Leakage Detection & Sanity Validation

Time-series forecasting pipelines are vulnerable to hidden data leakage through window misalignment, preprocessing mistakes, or unintended model state carryover. To ensure KLMemory is evaluated correctly and does not benefit from leaked future information, we performed an extensive set of destructive sanity checks.

Each test intentionally removes or corrupts information that the model should depend on. A valid, leak-free model should experience a significant degradation in performance under these conditions.

All tests were run on the Exchange-Rate dataset (96-step horizon).


1. Normal Evaluation (Baseline)

Mode MSE MAE
normal 0.08610 0.20314

This is the expected performance using real, unmodified inputs.


2. Input–Target Misalignment Test (Shuffle-X)

We shuffle encoder windows within the batch, breaking the natural pairing between each input window and its corresponding label:

idx = torch.randperm(batch_x.size(0))
batch_x = batch_x[idx]
Mode MSE MAE
shuffle_x 0.08735 0.20355

Interpretation: Small degradation is expected since shuffled windows come from the same distribution within the test split. This confirms no strict index-based leakage.


3. Gaussian Noise Test (Encoder Information Removed)

All encoder inputs are replaced with random Gaussian noise:

batch_x = torch.randn_like(batch_x)
Mode MSE MAE
noise_x 2.88824 1.38655

Interpretation: Significant degradation indicates that the model depends heavily on actual historical inputs and cannot perform well in their absence.


4. Additional Input-Corruption Variants

(Testing alternate pathways)

4.1 Noise Encoder + Zero Decoder Input

Tests whether decoder inputs accidentally leak information.

Mode MSE
noise_x_zero_dec 2.88276

4.2 Noise Encoder + Zero Time Features

Tests whether time encodings contain unintended future information.

Mode MSE
noise_x_zero_marks 2.88799

Interpretation: Similar degradation across all variants rules out decoder-based leakage and timestamp leakage.


5. Full Isolation Test (Noise + Zero Ancillary Inputs + Per-Batch Memory Reset)

This setting removes all meaningful input channels and disables cross-batch state:

  • Encoder input = Gaussian noise
  • Decoder input = zero
  • Timestamp features = zero
  • Spectral memory reset before every batch
if hasattr(self.model, "reset_memory"):
    self.model.reset_memory()   # enforced per batch
Mode MSE
noise_x_zero_all_reset_batch 2.90528

Interpretation: Performance remains in the degraded range (~2.9 MSE), demonstrating that the model does not rely on hidden cross-batch state or any auxiliary feature that could carry future information.


These results confirm that the reported forecasts are valid, leak-free, and the model is not exploiting any unintended shortcuts.

Mode Description Encoder Input Decoder Input Time Features Memory MSE Interpretation
normal Standard evaluation Real Standard Real Normal 0.0861 Expected performance with real data
shuffle_x Break input–target alignment (batch shuffle) Shuffled Standard Real Normal 0.0873 Slight degradation; no index-based leakage
noise_x Remove all encoder information (Gaussian noise) Noise Standard Real Normal 2.8882 Model collapses as expected → no leakage
noise_x_zero_dec Noise encoder + zero decoder Noise Zero Real Normal 2.8828 Confirms decoder is not leaking future info
noise_x_zero_marks Noise encoder + zero time features Noise Standard Zero Normal 2.8880 Time marks do not encode future information
noise_x_zero_all_reset_batch Full isolation: noise encoder + zero decoder + zero time features + per-batch memory reset Noise Zero Zero Reset per batch 2.9053 Confirms no cross-batch state contamination

Citation

@article{marquez2025spectral,
  title   = {The Spectrum Remembers: Spectral Memory,
  author  = {Marquez, Vincent},
  year    = {2025},
  note    = {GitHub Repository}
}

License

MIT License — see LICENSE.

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